TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$135,911
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$168,455

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,911 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf209…97e1backed Yes24c20,779$4,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,791.823531.4%11 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8db9…c73bbacked No55c14,000$7,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,750850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed No77c10,390$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,0001040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Yes23c9,000$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,929.971861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick42cpaid+78.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa42e…9a1cbacked No76c6,000$4,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5601735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes37c5,000$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,15034342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes51c4,704$2,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,311.441,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No76c4,598$3,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,493.7526047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No76c4,593$3,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,49112352.8%65 W · 58 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked No76c4,571$3,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,473.9510443.3%45 W · 59 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes23c4,447$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,424.3163346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2682…582abacked No76c4,000$3,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0402737%10 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-30.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes23c4,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0807844.9%35 W · 43 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes24c4,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,039.992552%13 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No76c3,333$2,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,533.089043.3%39 W · 51 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No76c3,308$2,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,51426645.9%122 W · 144 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No22c2,397$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.9316036.9%59 W · 101 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes62c1,650$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6271428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No27c1,587$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.181,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No76c1,372$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042.7716144.1%71 W · 90 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes23c1,335$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.2128543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes38c1,268$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.323554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+20.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9b4…3111backed Yes29c1,250$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.52250%11 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+42%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No76c1,185$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.667145.1%32 W · 39 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No26c836.95$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.5138935.2%137 W · 252 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No76c814.88$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.3138748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes24c779.54$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.451618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-53.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No12c741.37$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.248523.5%20 W · 65 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No19c695.91$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.8246048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked No51c644.99$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.953930.8%12 W · 27 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-25.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7aff…5f17backed No50c605.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9930%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Yes35c565.71$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.712050%10 W · 10 L+3.9wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+67.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xee67…e6febacked Yes63c508.69$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.692330.4%7 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafce…c2f6backed No77c500$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3851855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008650%43 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b12…43c8backed Yes24c491.67$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.671442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick30cpaid+55.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Yes79c483.51$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.543050%15 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+34.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No30c481.9$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.119550.5%48 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6452…30a1backed Yes24c416.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.671520%3 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-38.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed No16c372.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606940.6%28 W · 41 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.373228.1%9 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes24c361.82$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.9812644.4%56 W · 70 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae9d…d417backed Yes24c341.67$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.671921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dce…b663backed No71c331.59$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.43825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0632…d1b7backed Yes53c283.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.021546.7%7 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x807d…76dcbacked No77c275$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.751421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-42%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes24c270.83$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.8310249%50 W · 52 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes24c259.25$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.038633.7%29 W · 57 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+24.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No59c256.32$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.923637.3%88 W · 148 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda70…828bbacked Yes24c250$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1902437.5%9 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked No41c246.34$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes19c240.5$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.6217322%38 W · 135 L-0.4wins0.00per pick22cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Yes42c238.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.771020%2 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-61.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes20c209.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.99303.3%1 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-83.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa4…5e77backed Yes24c208$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.08771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+56.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec5b…aff2backed No20c203.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes24c200$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1524334.9%15 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f11…ce9fbacked No76c200$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1523562.9%22 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.318452.4%44 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca4a…338abacked Yes63c176.83$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.43728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-47.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed No21c164.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355135.3%18 W · 33 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed No63c156.1$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.348359%49 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked No36c155.56$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568450%42 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed No16c153.89$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.017238.9%28 W · 44 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No76c150$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1143647.2%17 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes24c145.83$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.838651.2%44 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fe…e4bebacked Yes26c143.19$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.962951.7%15 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+34.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed No30c136.67$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4111135.1%39 W · 72 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d8a…4d5fbacked No77c129.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001850%9 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8cd…e951backed No77c129$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.331573.3%11 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick75cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No77c125.86$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6412935.7%46 W · 83 L-12.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-26.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4913…d01bbacked No64c123$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.722860.7%17 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fea…9bdbbacked Yes36c111.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.112100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+115.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No76c110.04$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6314650.7%74 W · 72 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes24c104.05$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.0812938%49 W · 80 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1366…bf01backed Yes24c104$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.04560%3 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick22cpaid+173.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf96d…3a1ebacked Yes67c92.54$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.543850%19 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No77c90.49$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6859741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No19c88.08$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.759123.1%21 W · 70 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-37.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes22c87.82$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.7822356.1%125 W · 98 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc59f…f632backed Yes24c83.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.331266.7%8 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+72.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No18c82.63$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5314220.4%29 W · 113 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbaa…7688backed Yes24c81.38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.852642.3%11 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+43.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c9b…9cf5backed Yes24c81.08$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.621060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+32.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c04…1844backed Yes24c77.25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.713447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes66c75.14$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6812046.7%56 W · 64 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd12e…27c2backed No77c74.88$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.66333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick76cpaid-53.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed No76c72.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.479160.4%55 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed No27c70.3$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.987943%34 W · 45 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x18fe…af43backed Yes24c70$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.21566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2da0…3ed5backed Yes37c67.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.56425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36c8…2925backed No77c67.53$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes24c66.25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3510044%44 W · 56 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No77c66$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8229846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2031…5ee7backed No77c64.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc18…2ce9backed No65c64.73$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.032740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed0d…5ad2backed No16c63.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Yes26c63$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.628647.7%41 W · 45 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Yes32c62.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.53650%18 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc08…267abacked Yes24c62.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.53250%16 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.