CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77af7110098434d1b6ef66ac254c4e7e71c89575ddfd48e1c136c0c26314c38b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sinnersof Sinners, Lazer Cats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,646
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,351
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,646 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Lazer Cats | 19c | 3,159$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.11 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Sinners | 79c | 2,903$2,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.44 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Lazer Cats | 21c | 1,250$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.43 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…23afbacked Sinners | 79c | 884$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.74 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Lazer Cats | 20c | 810$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Lazer Cats | 21c | 669.29$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.96 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Lazer Cats | 13c | 619.3$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.51 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Lazer Cats | 22c | 431.36$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…f540backed Sinners | 79c | 379.76$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.95 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Lazer Cats | 20c | 298.16$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.84 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Sinners | 80c | 263.14$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.14 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Lazer Cats | 22c | 258.93$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.96 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64f8…8cadbacked Lazer Cats | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Sinners | 80c | 212.08$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.48 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Lazer Cats | 21c | 210.53$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.06 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3701…ba6dbacked Lazer Cats | 20c | 210$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe63d…0545backed Lazer Cats | 20c | 169.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…1cf4backed Lazer Cats | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Lazer Cats | 21c | 150$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Lazer Cats | 19c | 132.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Lazer Cats | 10c | 121.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7386…b1debacked Lazer Cats | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Lazer Cats | 20c | 103.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Lazer Cats | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Lazer Cats | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 246 | 33.3%82 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Lazer Cats | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c2…3c0abacked Lazer Cats | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Sinners | 78c | 99.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Lazer Cats | 19c | 99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Lazer Cats | 23c | 96.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed Lazer Cats | 19c | 94.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Lazer Cats | 22c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Lazer Cats | 22c | 71.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbc…5dfcbacked Sinners | 79c | 64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Sinners | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 184 | 54.3%100 W · 84 L | +16.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…9848backed Lazer Cats | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x988f…0b07backed Lazer Cats | 22c | 53.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df1…ed33backed Lazer Cats | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Sinners | 80c | 42.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a41…145fbacked Lazer Cats | 49c | 41.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…19cdbacked Sinners | 77c | 33.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 66cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed Sinners | 78c | 23.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf003…857bbacked Sinners | 80c | 18.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…e8c3backed Sinners | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42f3…ea28backed Sinners | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Lazer Cats - Map 1 WinnerSinners won
- Map Handicap: SIN (-1.5) vs Lazer Cats (+1.5)Sinners won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.