CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a4e28b16ca12190a2daefb36c92eb21ed29a97571c039a3a937044dab02198e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $301,948
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $312,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $301,948 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 378 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Astralis | 33c | 48,961$16,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,157.1 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 27,078$17,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,017.2 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25e2…9a09backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 25,500$17,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,415 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…c2b9backed Astralis | 32c | 24,720$7,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,988.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Astralis | 33c | 20,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 757 | 58.3%441 W · 316 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Astralis | 38c | 19,652$7,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,467.76 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked Astralis | 32c | 15,807$4,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,983.62 | 271 | 33.2%90 W · 181 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 11,200$7,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,361.19 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Astralis | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Astralis | 34c | 10,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…0664backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 8,119$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,118.88 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 8,000$5,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,719.96 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c30…54a2backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 6,436$4,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.96 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 6,324$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,023.53 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Astralis | 31c | 6,048$1,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,893.62 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 4,500$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.98 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Natus Vincere | 77c | 4,371$3,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.06 | 3,256 | 50.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L | +97.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…959abacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 4,216$2,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.53 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 3,958$2,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.4 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed Astralis | 28c | 3,901$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6bc…5a82backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 3,848$2,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Astralis | 21c | 3,174$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.45 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a6…9837backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 3,090$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.9 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Astralis | 33c | 3,030$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Astralis | 32c | 3,016$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.68 | 967 | 40.7%394 W · 573 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Astralis | 14c | 2,892$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.9 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Astralis | 29c | 2,800$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817 | 1,408 | 33.7%475 W · 933 L | +43.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 2,754$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.68 | 263 | 60.8%160 W · 103 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe61…4665backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 2,467$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…e851backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 2,279$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.39 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 2,221$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.99 | 1,080 | 50.9%550 W · 530 L | +38.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Astralis | 26c | 2,126$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.53 | 2,057 | 41.5%853 W · 1,204 L | -50.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7791…af80backed Astralis | 31c | 2,017$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 1,937$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.39 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked Astralis | 18c | 1,887$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.77 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8e…9338backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 1,824$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Astralis | 12c | 1,818$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.15 | 979 | 52.4%513 W · 466 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…b77ebacked Astralis | 32c | 1,811$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Astralis | 8c | 1,810$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.76 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…1ffbbacked Astralis | 33c | 1,622$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.34 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 1,579$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.27 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…3d8dbacked Astralis | 32c | 1,524$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.63 | 528 | 34.3%181 W · 347 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b54…0b79backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 1,482$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.56 | 37 | 78.4%29 W · 8 L | +6.8wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 341 | 56.6%193 W · 148 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653a…4d06backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 1,418$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.54 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Astralis | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.81 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Astralis | 31c | 1,260$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.6 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69aa…e28bbacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 1,228$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.36 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x586f…ce5dbacked Astralis | 34c | 1,200$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Astralis | 35c | 1,153$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403 | 522 | 36.8%192 W · 330 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Astralis | 28c | 1,142$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.88 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Astralis | 36c | 1,111$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.96 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Astralis | 34c | 1,096$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.39 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x213f…1da2backed Astralis | 33c | 1,076$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.03 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Natus Vincere | 72c | 1,030$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.78 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbef…d421backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…bb2abacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Astralis | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Astralis | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…692bbacked Astralis | 31c | 999.98$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.99 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Astralis | 34c | 909.88$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.36 | 461 | 43.4%200 W · 261 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Natus Vincere | 80c | 907.14$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.66 | 1,567 | 29.8%467 W · 1,100 L | -86.0wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c88…1275backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 891.04$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb936…0a66backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 888.94$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.94 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f0…a122backed Astralis | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Astralis | 31c | 871.21$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.52 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4651…8da8backed Astralis | 12c | 866.4$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.97 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Astralis | 10c | 823.54$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.76 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Astralis | 24c | 817.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.6 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe779…335ebacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 800$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Natus Vincere | 74c | 793$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.38 | 329 | 30.4%100 W · 229 L | -21.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…9eeabacked Astralis | 30c | 776.96$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.42 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed Astralis | 14c | 764.71$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.06 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 750.15$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.55 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 750$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.5 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076b…354cbacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf05…3e27backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa89c…398fbacked Astralis | 34c | 729.99$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.2 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae9…0801backed Astralis | 35c | 717.82$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb187…bbe1backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 702$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.68 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf41…bfd4backed Astralis | 34c | 700$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Astralis | 33c | 681.82$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Astralis | 28c | 644.37$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.08 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 627.99$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.6 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b4…834ebacked Natus Vincere | 74c | 619.75$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.75 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Astralis | 22c | 606.38$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.4 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Astralis | 34c | 600$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 105 | 38.1%40 W · 65 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed Astralis | 13c | 600$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 474 | 41.6%197 W · 277 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0303…1770backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 597.01$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ec…9c6dbacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 597.01$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.01 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 596$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.68 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cb…d9d2backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 592$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33d0…f7ebbacked Astralis | 34c | 591.18$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Astralis | 32c | 569.35$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.33 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Astralis | 33c | 561.28$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 1,621 | 44.8%726 W · 895 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Astralis | 30c | 555.54$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.66 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…cf3dbacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 510$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.3 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x851a…2e1bbacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 502.99$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…e3ebbacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.