NHL · resolved market
Panthers vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1171becb2f4dad62cab9b6e76e900bc73f06b11665512f651ee5ffd11e3f2dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,859
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,859 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 36c | 2,464$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581.8 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 64c | 2,316$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.88 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x672a…abb7backed Over | 65c | 1,539$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 35c | 1,391$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.4 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 63c | 1,071$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.61 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 37c | 879$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.77 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 63c | 873.02$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 49c | 780.83$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.36 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 37c | 602.72$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.71 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 35c | 400$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 357.99$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.78 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2c…2ac8backed Over | 63c | 279$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 64c | 278$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.92 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under | 37c | 259.46$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.46 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaec8…fd95backed Over | 63c | 239$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 37c | 238.11$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.01 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Over | 64c | 234.69$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d54…a756backed Over | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 150 | 54%81 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 26c | 191.38$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.51 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 68c | 153.57$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.85 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Under | 36c | 146$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.44 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 59c | 142.49$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.76 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 61c | 131.03$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.03 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27e6…b7a4backed Under | 37c | 123$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…423cbacked Under | 37c | 117$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed Under | 37c | 115$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.45 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x659e…1e73backed Under | 37c | 111$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 37c | 102$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.31 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 333 | 63.7%212 W · 121 L | +44.3wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x91be…dbd5backed Under | 37c | 96$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 36c | 95.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…19cdbacked Over | 14c | 85.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1376…b7c5backed Under | 37c | 71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 63c | 67.41$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.47 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 63c | 54.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…8984backed Under | 38c | 53.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.47 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 36c | 51.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 355 | 53%188 W · 167 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked Over | 42c | 48.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 80c | 44.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fc…74a4backed Over | 62c | 40.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5090…ccb2backed Over | 64c | 33.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -6.3wins | -0.35per pick | 63cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 67c | 29.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 73c | 29.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 37c | 28.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | -12.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 227 | 59.5%135 W · 92 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…2e2abacked Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panthers vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5this page
- Panthers vs. OilersPanthers won
- Panthers vs. Oilers: O/U 4.5Under won
- Panthers vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Panthers vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.