NHL · resolved market
Panthers vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x742b4386223afbe7e5a8c75542b066d6ae2ab702c0ab156a9fb3de210c7984b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,922 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 68c | 812.25$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.92 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Over | 32c | 440$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.8 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x107e…e987backed Under | 69c | 281$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b1…344bbacked Over | 31c | 262$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8a…6250backed Under | 69c | 243$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde05…5b40backed Over | 31c | 233$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 32c | 220$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…8aa5backed Over | 31c | 196$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 73c | 193.32$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.14 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 19c | 187.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd500…6526backed Under | 69c | 162$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4b…02c5backed Under | 69c | 152$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 27c | 151.32$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.86 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…369dbacked Over | 31c | 147$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 69c | 124.61$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.63 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 30c | 113.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Over | 32c | 110$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over | 32c | 110$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -13.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under | 68c | 89.48$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.63 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5090…ccb2backed Over | 32c | 67.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -6.3wins | -0.35per pick | 63cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 30c | 51.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed Over | 31c | 45.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked Over | 27c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panthers vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5this page
- Panthers vs. OilersPanthers won
- Panthers vs. Oilers: O/U 4.5Under won
- Panthers vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Panthers vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.