NBA · resolved market

Thunder vs. Jazz

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x046df5ec9cb51381ff63bd0b8848172d54f881d436552fead995906f58e521de

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Thunderof Thunder, Jazz
Resolved: Dec 8, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,254,419
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,149,354

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,254,419 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 426 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbf51…4a30backed Jazz	20c	453,245$92,857 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92,856.9	767	46.4%356 W · 411 L	-16.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Jazz	16c	250,658$40,105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40,105.21	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Thunder	80c	139,287$110,873 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28,414.67	964	47.8%461 W · 503 L	+35.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea34…0a92backed Thunder	79c	115,244$90,806 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,438.68	66	54.5%36 W · 30 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Thunder	79c	80,000$62,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,100	596	46.1%275 W · 321 L	-16.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x564f…1795backed Jazz	19c	60,000$11,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,400	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff36…e757backed Jazz	10c	50,000$4,890 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,889.68	115	47%54 W · 61 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Jazz	17c	50,000$8,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,699.98	352	35.8%126 W · 226 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc4a…87d4backed Jazz	17c	40,271$6,980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,980.26	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	-3.0wins	-0.08per pick	60cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf963…0637backed Thunder	79c	37,500$29,625 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,875	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed Thunder	78c	32,684$25,494 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,190.57	134	55.2%74 W · 60 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Jazz	20c	25,556$5,111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,111.19	102	35.3%36 W · 66 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Jazz	17c	25,000$4,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,250	1,269	44.5%565 W · 704 L	+32.4wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Thunder	78c	24,996$19,597 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,399.06	367	41.4%152 W · 215 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb6b…a33dbacked Jazz	3c	20,587$661 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660.94	109	14.7%16 W · 93 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2487…fa80backed Jazz	17c	20,000$3,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,400	180	45%81 W · 99 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa44b…18f5backed Jazz	2c	20,000$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Jazz	1c	18,192$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.69	645	17.1%110 W · 535 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Thunder	79c	15,316$12,167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,149.68	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Jazz	18c	15,000$2,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,700	76	40.8%31 W · 45 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Jazz	20c	15,000$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	432	47.5%205 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed Thunder	78c	13,720$10,702 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,017.58	79	57%45 W · 34 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Thunder	78c	12,821$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,820.51	340	62.1%211 W · 129 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Jazz	17c	11,818$2,026 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,025.74	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Jazz	17c	11,765$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Jazz	1c	11,721$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	185	18.4%34 W · 151 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Thunder	79c	11,280$8,942 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,337.9	623	51.4%320 W · 303 L	-13.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Jazz	0c	11,009$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.4	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Thunder	79c	10,259$8,114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,144.82	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Jazz	7c	10,000$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$699.99	475	35.8%170 W · 305 L	+41.1wins	+0.09per pick	27cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Jazz	16c	9,972$1,645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,645.22	1,197	46.7%559 W · 638 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Jazz	17c	9,900$1,683 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,683	477	51.8%247 W · 230 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ce…0772backed Thunder	79c	9,747$7,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,046.87	117	41.9%49 W · 68 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Jazz	17c	9,500$1,615 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,615	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Jazz	9c	7,075$651 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$651.38	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xccea…a8ebbacked Thunder	79c	7,049$5,579 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,470.28	233	48.1%112 W · 121 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d6…34e3backed Thunder	80c	7,000$5,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,400	205	42.9%88 W · 117 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Jazz	16c	6,398$1,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,010.48	145	51%74 W · 71 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Jazz	19c	5,263$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	131	53.4%70 W · 61 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xac23…3ddcbacked Jazz	2c	5,200$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	35cpaid	-67%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Jazz	16c	5,072$812 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$811.59	260	38.1%99 W · 161 L	-9.3wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-24%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed0e…b305backed Jazz	19c	5,000$950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$950	217	23.5%51 W · 166 L	+9.6wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+75.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Jazz	3c	4,859$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.18	1,226	37.4%458 W · 768 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jazz	7c	4,750$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332.54	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5be…46cebacked Jazz	2c	4,620$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103	59	11.9%7 W · 52 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Thunder	78c	4,578$3,571 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,007.21	158	55.7%88 W · 70 L	-9.8wins	-0.06per pick	62cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Jazz	17c	4,119$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700.29	950	49.4%469 W · 481 L	+10.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bc7…e411backed Thunder	78c	4,050$3,159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$891	98	55.1%54 W · 44 L	+5.3wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Jazz	17c	4,000$680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$680	488	45.3%221 W · 267 L	+18.9wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf33d…24cabacked Jazz	1c	4,000$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	194	32%62 W · 132 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9e8…731cbacked Thunder	77c	3,930$3,026 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$903.9	72	55.6%40 W · 32 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e63…1cedbacked Jazz	23c	3,805$863 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$863.39	243	23.9%58 W · 185 L	-7.9wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a90…7bf8backed Thunder	80c	3,650$2,916 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$734.25	92	60.9%56 W · 36 L	-4.5wins	-0.05per pick	66cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Jazz	7c	3,300$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe44d…1034backed Thunder	80c	3,130$2,504 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$626	26	65.4%17 W · 9 L	+2.3wins	+0.09per pick	56cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz	19c	3,050$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$579.5	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Jazz	19c	3,000$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570	128	43.8%56 W · 72 L	-8.1wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84f6…2e01backed Thunder	79c	3,000$2,365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$635	167	49.1%82 W · 85 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Jazz	4c	2,982$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.32	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb560…60d6backed Jazz	18c	2,946$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530.31	57	36.8%21 W · 36 L	-8.0wins	-0.14per pick	51cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfd6a…2d4abacked Jazz	22c	2,900$638 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$638	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.15per pick	45cpaid	+66.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x20e5…d3bcbacked Jazz	18c	2,750$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495	226	37.2%84 W · 142 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	+2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a79…a442backed Thunder	78c	2,564$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$564.1	70	62.9%44 W · 26 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	66cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ddd…39eebacked Jazz	4c	2,500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	225	42.2%95 W · 130 L	-4.9wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff51…83e3backed Jazz	18c	2,500$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.99	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+2.1wins	+0.27per pick	36cpaid	+87.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Jazz	3c	2,475$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.09	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7de0…7c66backed Jazz	6c	2,385$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	405	36.5%148 W · 257 L	+13.3wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd837…ba4abacked Jazz	17c	2,300$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Thunder	80c	2,279$1,812 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$466.73	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7249…3db9backed Jazz	18c	2,137$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387.78	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Jazz	19c	2,074$394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$394	279	39.8%111 W · 168 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c85…cb03backed Jazz	17c	2,070$352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351.9	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84b8…1193backed Thunder	78c	1,997$1,558 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$439.34	349	42.7%149 W · 200 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x311b…080dbacked Thunder	78c	1,876$1,463 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$412.68	53	50.9%27 W · 26 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec8b…152bbacked Thunder	79c	1,722$1,364 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$358.49	159	45.9%73 W · 86 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cb2…f12fbacked Thunder	78c	1,700$1,326 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$374	230	58.7%135 W · 95 L	+14.1wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Jazz	13c	1,700$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222	1,390	26%361 W · 1,029 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked Jazz	19c	1,688$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320.64	35	40%14 W · 21 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc6…c936backed Jazz	2c	1,675$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.86	155	47.1%73 W · 82 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x957e…5758backed Jazz	7c	1,667$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Thunder	79c	1,667$1,315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$351.8	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Thunder	79c	1,639$1,291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$348.38	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Jazz	17c	1,582$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.1	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x558d…180ebacked Jazz	19c	1,550$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301	220	41.4%91 W · 129 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Jazz	19c	1,500$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285	466	32.6%152 W · 314 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Jazz	20c	1,500$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	179	31.8%57 W · 122 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	28cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Jazz	19c	1,500$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.5	608	34.4%209 W · 399 L	+8.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Jazz	1c	1,494$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.69	721	1%7 W · 714 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Jazz	8c	1,388$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.29	470	28.1%132 W · 338 L	+27.2wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Thunder	79c	1,350$1,067 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$283	166	42.2%70 W · 96 L	-11.2wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xca47…3ef4backed Jazz	19c	1,316$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c73…1ba6backed Thunder	79c	1,300$1,027 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$273	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	76cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f02…d349backed Jazz	18c	1,300$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.12per pick	43cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Jazz	4c	1,290$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.71	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Thunder	79c	1,266$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265.82	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ab…ded1backed Thunder	80c	1,250$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	77	45.5%35 W · 42 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Jazz	17c	1,227$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.59	483	47.2%228 W · 255 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x834e…78c4backed Jazz	18c	1,200$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Thunder	80c	1,193$954 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$238.6	589	51.3%302 W · 287 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x703a…e323backed Jazz	5c	1,184$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+1.8wins	+0.16per pick	11cpaid	+105.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Thunder vs. Jazzthis page
1H Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
1H Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-17.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
Thunder vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineThunder won
Thunder vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
Thunder vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
Thunder vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
Thunder vs. Jazz: O/U 233.5Under won
Thunder vs. Jazz: O/U 234.5Under won
Thunder vs. Jazz: O/U 235.5Under won
Thunder vs. Jazz: O/U 236.5Under won
Thunder vs. Jazz: O/U 237.5Under won
Thunder vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5Under won
Thunder vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Thunder vs. Jazz

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event