NBA · resolved market

Spread: Thunder (-11.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc46b7c0cc09e930b9930dd741c03b90ab62a70ca08777dea066bcdcebf0bf3c3

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Thunderof Thunder, Jazz
Resolved: Dec 8, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $336,766
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $335,833

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $336,766 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9165…5b98backed Thunder	51c	126,874$64,320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62,553.38	252	48.4%122 W · 130 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Jazz	49c	76,000$37,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37,080	596	53.4%318 W · 278 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Jazz	55c	62,337$34,158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34,157.93	767	46.4%356 W · 411 L	-16.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Jazz	50c	30,127$14,917 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,916.79	698	52%363 W · 335 L	+10.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Thunder	47c	25,439$11,956 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,482.59	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Thunder	52c	24,441$12,669 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,771.71	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Thunder	46c	22,393$10,276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,116.77	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Jazz	53c	20,000$10,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,600	513	50.1%257 W · 256 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jazz	49c	19,756$9,708 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,708.16	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Thunder	46c	17,631$8,125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,505.73	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Thunder	51c	15,737$7,969 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,768.72	668	53.4%357 W · 311 L	+22.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Jazz	49c	12,047$5,958 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,957.6	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Jazz	50c	10,463$5,212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,212.2	488	45.3%221 W · 267 L	+18.9wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Thunder	44c	10,000$4,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,599.99	964	47.8%461 W · 503 L	+35.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3d6…34e3backed Thunder	44c	7,607$3,347 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,260.2	205	42.9%88 W · 117 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Thunder	44c	7,415$3,289 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,126.4	355	47.3%168 W · 187 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Jazz	55c	7,089$3,894 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,894.37	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Thunder	50c	5,500$2,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,750	477	48.8%233 W · 244 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Jazz	50c	5,000$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	662	50.8%336 W · 326 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Thunder	51c	4,902$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,401.96	123	41.5%51 W · 72 L	-8.6wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Thunder	50c	4,550$2,275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,275	1,212	48.3%586 W · 626 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed Jazz	53c	4,000$2,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,120	169	42%71 W · 98 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Jazz	51c	3,473$1,773 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,773.14	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8839…8a3ebacked Jazz	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	74	33.8%25 W · 49 L	-8.5wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Jazz	51c	2,970$1,515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,514.7	74	37.8%28 W · 46 L	-9.6wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Thunder	48c	2,727$1,299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,427.7	927	53.5%496 W · 431 L	+20.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x685e…6f30backed Jazz	57c	2,400$1,368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,368	107	57.9%62 W · 45 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Thunder	51c	2,135$1,099 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,035.58	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Jazz	50c	2,002$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	653	39.5%258 W · 395 L	-24.6wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Thunder	54c	1,706$926 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$780.37	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Jazz	50c	1,536$773 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$773.38	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Jazz	50c	1,377$687 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$687.18	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Thunder	47c	1,359$639 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$720.32	1,157	47.9%554 W · 603 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Thunder	43c	1,241$534 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$707.37	627	44.5%279 W · 348 L	-12.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Thunder	51c	1,180$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$580.39	170	42.4%72 W · 98 L	+8.1wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8f8…09f7backed Jazz	49c	1,160$568 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$568.23	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	-4.7wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Jazz	21c	1,142$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.77	260	34.6%90 W · 170 L	-20.6wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Thunder	50c	1,128$564 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$563.79	165	47.3%78 W · 87 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+56.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Jazz	48c	1,057$507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$507.36	267	53.2%142 W · 125 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27df…e67cbacked Jazz	54c	991.19$535 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$535	84	38.1%32 W · 52 L	-5.1wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Thunder	45c	991.11$446 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$545.11	434	53.2%231 W · 203 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Jazz	44c	944.78$415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$414.83	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked Thunder	44c	822.75$362 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$460.76	176	44.9%79 W · 97 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Thunder	47c	754.83$355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400.06	356	51.1%182 W · 174 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Thunder	51c	699.99$354 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$346	841	50.3%423 W · 418 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Jazz	6c	679.74$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.91	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f20…87c9backed Jazz	49c	591.16$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.76	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-3.0wins	-0.14per pick	43cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Jazz	51c	588$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.88	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Jazz	50c	522.62$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.03	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Jazz	50c	522$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x443d…017fbacked Jazz	59c	423.73$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	235	50.2%118 W · 117 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d56…0ba5backed Thunder	44c	420$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.2	96	47.9%46 W · 50 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe29…1c8fbacked Jazz	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed Thunder	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Jazz	50c	398$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.39	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Thunder	51c	392.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.16	361	43.5%157 W · 204 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91f3…0d57backed Jazz	49c	306.12$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	93	48.4%45 W · 48 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked Thunder	46c	252.17$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.17	173	56.6%98 W · 75 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x957e…5758backed Jazz	17c	250$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Thunder	45c	222.22$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.22	60	51.7%31 W · 29 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Thunder	47c	212.77$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.77	366	49.5%181 W · 185 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed Jazz	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	274	35.4%97 W · 177 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Jazz	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	786	52.4%412 W · 374 L	+14.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Jazz	51c	200$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	1,197	47.5%569 W · 628 L	-32.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Jazz	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1,475	51.3%756 W · 719 L	+35.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Thunder	45c	200$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110	261	50.2%131 W · 130 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x91f0…cc29backed Jazz	55c	200$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+2.3wins	+0.20per pick	52cpaid	+37.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb991…2462backed Thunder	44c	190$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.4	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+2.0wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+33.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21b4…e064backed Jazz	53c	189.06$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.2	119	46.2%55 W · 64 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cff…6471backed Jazz	50c	185.8$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.9	144	45.8%66 W · 78 L	-7.0wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb69…c773backed Jazz	55c	181.82$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	131	48.9%64 W · 67 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Thunder	47c	181.48$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.89	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Thunder	44c	179$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.24	625	41.9%262 W · 363 L	-32.7wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-11%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b20…7c67backed Jazz	59c	170.64$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	195	52.8%103 W · 92 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Thunder	46c	127.05$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.62	950	49.4%469 W · 481 L	+10.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Jazz	56c	125$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	818	45.7%374 W · 444 L	+9.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59eb…fa33backed Jazz	54c	119.94$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.66	99	41.4%41 W · 58 L	-7.4wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Jazz	52c	109.98$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.19	824	40.4%333 W · 491 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d24…a93fbacked Jazz	49c	102.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	310	55.5%172 W · 138 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Jazz	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	955	48.5%463 W · 492 L	-3.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1351…bebcbacked Jazz	51c	100$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	165	52.7%87 W · 78 L	+8.8wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+13%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d53…061cbacked Thunder	45c	100$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55	119	42.9%51 W · 68 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Jazz	51c	100$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	658	55.6%366 W · 292 L	+27.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f1…6349backed Thunder	51c	98.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.04	173	50.9%88 W · 85 L	-6.7wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Jazz	49c	96$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.2	266	48.5%129 W · 137 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b4b…14e2backed Jazz	59c	84.75$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	235	47.7%112 W · 123 L	+8.3wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Thunder	49c	80.2$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.91	1,695	44.7%758 W · 937 L	-30.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Jazz	49c	80$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.2	245	52.7%129 W · 116 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Jazz	49c	80$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.2	326	49.7%162 W · 164 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Jazz	49c	80$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.2	318	52.2%166 W · 152 L	+7.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Jazz	49c	80$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.2	106	46.2%49 W · 57 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Jazz	49c	80$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.2	251	50.2%126 W · 125 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Jazz	57c	67$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.19	617	47.8%295 W · 322 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Thunder	43c	64$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.48	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Jazz	50c	61.66$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.83	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Thunder	55c	51$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.83	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Thunder	48c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	1,053	53.5%563 W · 490 L	-15.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Jazz	53c	47.17$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	603	46.4%280 W · 323 L	-12.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdc7…31c0backed Jazz	51c	43.14$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	87	46%40 W · 47 L	-5.7wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0af…5490backed Jazz	52c	42.31$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	288	56.9%164 W · 124 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Thunder (-11.5)this page
1H Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
1H Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-17.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
Thunder vs. JazzThunder won
Thunder vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineThunder won
Thunder vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
Thunder vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
Thunder vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
Thunder vs. Jazz: O/U 233.5Under won
Thunder vs. Jazz: O/U 234.5Under won
Thunder vs. Jazz: O/U 235.5Under won
Thunder vs. Jazz: O/U 236.5Under won
Thunder vs. Jazz: O/U 237.5Under won
Thunder vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5Under won
Thunder vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Thunder (-11.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event