College Football · resolved market
Troy vs. Old Dominion
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23f8ddd2aa26d3d5df141200bd9379dea48682c0c113d76533b29a7c134bb4cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Old Dominionof Troy, Old Dominion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $245,141
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $254,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,141 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Old Dominion | 80c | 31,268$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,267.73 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e5…d41fbacked Troy | 1c | 20,150$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.95 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Old Dominion | 80c | 20,000$16,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Troy | 20c | 16,129$3,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,225.71 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Troy | 0c | 15,094$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 49 | 0%0 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Troy | 20c | 12,395$2,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,479 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Troy | 2c | 9,666$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.81 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Troy | 23c | 9,044$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080.02 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Troy | 22c | 8,098$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.8 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Troy | 20c | 7,812$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.44 | 127 | 18.9%24 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Troy | 21c | 7,417$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527.32 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Troy | 22c | 7,333$1,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,602.75 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Old Dominion | 76c | 4,279$3,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.92 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Troy | 24c | 4,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Troy | 24c | 4,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…2c46backed Troy | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed Old Dominion | 79c | 3,000$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x618d…aadcbacked Old Dominion | 78c | 3,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Troy | 25c | 2,910$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.35 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Troy | 1c | 2,857$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Old Dominion | 75c | 2,768$2,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.81 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Troy | 14c | 2,601$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.21 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Old Dominion | 78c | 2,500$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.65 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Troy | 12c | 2,101$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.43 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x022b…b28cbacked Troy | 21c | 2,100$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Troy | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Old Dominion | 77c | 2,059$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.39 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…4375backed Old Dominion | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d9…e01fbacked Troy | 20c | 1,900$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Troy | 6c | 1,881$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Old Dominion | 76c | 1,880$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.2 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Troy | 8c | 1,859$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.69 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Old Dominion | 77c | 1,799$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.39 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Troy | 25c | 1,585$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.79 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Troy | 1c | 1,350$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Old Dominion | 76c | 1,331$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.52 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Troy | 20c | 1,200$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.17 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Old Dominion | 78c | 1,173$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.76 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Troy | 24c | 1,100$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…1fb3backed Troy | 20c | 1,100$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Troy | 24c | 1,037$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.88 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…904abacked Troy | 14c | 1,000$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c3…0964backed Old Dominion | 79c | 999.99$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dad…805abacked Troy | 20c | 999.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Troy | 20c | 999.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Troy | 14c | 805.61$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…a807backed Troy | 2c | 799.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Troy | 20c | 736.98$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.4 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00b5…b3cabacked Old Dominion | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 36 | 80.6%29 W · 7 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…61c8backed Troy | 25c | 592.23$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Old Dominion | 77c | 588$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.24 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Troy | 15c | 582.4$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.81 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Troy | 22c | 515$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.3 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Old Dominion | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked Troy | 24c | 499.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…5bf8backed Troy | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Troy | 20c | 473.71$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…de01backed Troy | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Troy | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 13cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c74…76d8backed Old Dominion | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…a84abacked Troy | 11c | 355.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Old Dominion | 75c | 338.34$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.58 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7111…eea8backed Troy | 21c | 333.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9830backed Troy | 21c | 333.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2267…58afbacked Troy | 21c | 327.02$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Old Dominion | 78c | 322.9$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.69 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Troy | 25c | 311.1$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.78 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9052…d6acbacked Old Dominion | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe159…18a5backed Troy | 21c | 260$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Old Dominion | 78c | 238$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.36 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…ae56backed Troy | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…705bbacked Troy | 8c | 222.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Troy | 21c | 219.07$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.48 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Troy | 21c | 213.07$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.03 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Troy | 7c | 203$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Troy | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x169a…e7adbacked Troy | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked Troy | 21c | 200$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Troy | 21c | 200$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Troy | 8c | 179.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Troy | 22c | 169.53$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b21…03d2backed Old Dominion | 80c | 162.5$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4afa…f562backed Old Dominion | 79c | 160$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Troy | 12c | 160$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a2…1f5abacked Old Dominion | 80c | 151.25$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x096e…27d7backed Old Dominion | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Troy | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…3c36backed Old Dominion | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a16…fc9ebacked Old Dominion | 80c | 146.58$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4a…1612backed Old Dominion | 80c | 132.5$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Old Dominion | 76c | 132$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1353…8952backed Old Dominion | 80c | 130.29$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf491…2b48backed Old Dominion | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc32f…4f25backed Old Dominion | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26db…7abcbacked Old Dominion | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842e…8e33backed Old Dominion | 80c | 129.79$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d1…6154backed Old Dominion | 80c | 129.66$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1287…b0ecbacked Old Dominion | 80c | 129.51$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc08e…bc1bbacked Old Dominion | 80c | 128.98$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe745…7023backed Old Dominion | 80c | 128.45$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Troy vs. Old Dominionthis page
- O/U 53.5Under won
- Spread: Old Dominion (-10.5)Old Dominion won
- Spread: Old Dominion (-11.5)Old Dominion won
- Troy vs. Old Dominion: 1H MoneylineOld Dominion won
- Troy vs. Old Dominion: O/U 52.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.