College Football · resolved market
Troy vs. Old Dominion: O/U 52.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6467f7b0f59c22793c6c1af6225b37bc6788c87d6c5114f472fb1ec02310c01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $223,577
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $223,604
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $223,577 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Under | 50c | 189,855$94,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95,011.81 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 50c | 90,990$45,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,496 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 50c | 49,900$24,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,950 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 18,884$9,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,515.49 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 50c | 15,555$7,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777.5 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Under | 50c | 7,265$3,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,632.5 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7189…b454backed Over | 51c | 6,583$3,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,357.2 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 51c | 5,803$2,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,959.53 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 50c | 5,500$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2635…5408backed Under | 48c | 3,653$1,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.46 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 51c | 3,093$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.3 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 49c | 3,010$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.23 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Over | 50c | 2,100$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 51c | 1,675$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.11 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 42c | 1,575$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.34 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 50c | 1,508$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.93 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Over | 50c | 555$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.5 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc7…cf77backed Over | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 51c | 264$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.64 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd58b…48e8backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Over | 51c | 140$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Under | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Over | 51c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Over | 51c | 55.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…5286backed Under | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf547…9ebbbacked Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…5d1bbacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc47d…feeebacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…e313backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf336…beb1backed Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Troy vs. Old Dominion: O/U 52.5this page
- O/U 53.5Under won
- Spread: Old Dominion (-10.5)Old Dominion won
- Spread: Old Dominion (-11.5)Old Dominion won
- Troy vs. Old DominionOld Dominion won
- Troy vs. Old Dominion: 1H MoneylineOld Dominion won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.