TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc32f…4f25

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst College Football at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST3568.6%24 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Clippers vs. Mavericksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+72.4%+$28.97
Trail Blazers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+35.1%+$14.05
76ers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+56.3%+$22.5
Heat vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+47.1%+$18.82
Pacers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+56.3%+$22.5
Hawks vs. Jazzbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+78.6%+$31.43
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+66.7%+$26.67
Hawks vs. Kingsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+61.3%+$24.52
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+40.8%+$16.34
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Suns vs. Mavericksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+88.7%+$35.47
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+180.6%+$72.22
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Grizzlies vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+40.8%+$16.34
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Hawks vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Jazzbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Pelicans vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6.32
Bucks vs. Mavericksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Bullsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick65cpaid-34.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+46.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Flyers vs. Predatorsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+117.4%+$28.17
Blues vs. Sabresbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+122.2%+$36.67
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Buccaneers vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Chargers vs. Jaguarsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+65.6%+$45.94
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.