NHL · resolved market
Flyers vs. Predators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae00e691d50cccfe109229af8e733ab9927ba8d33971bc322a58bde0221b125e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flyersof Flyers, Predators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $988,283
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,008,692
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $988,283 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 486 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Predators | 55c | 605,696$332,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332,928.53 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4cd0backed Predators | 54c | 128,544$69,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,150.25 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Flyers | 45c | 117,371$53,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,126.38 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Flyers | 46c | 82,389$37,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,483.84 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Flyers | 44c | 75,000$33,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,000 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Flyers | 44c | 65,000$28,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,400 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Flyers | 38c | 50,000$19,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,999.99 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Flyers | 46c | 38,226$17,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,625.3 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Flyers | 30c | 25,021$7,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,515.01 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Flyers | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,999.98 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf90e…0b56backed Flyers | 45c | 15,000$6,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,249.94 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Flyers | 45c | 12,111$5,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,661.05 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Flyers | 45c | 11,747$5,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,453.88 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd076…d2efbacked Flyers | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,000 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda07…aa04backed Predators | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Flyers | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…9566backed Flyers | 46c | 9,357$4,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,052.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d66…9dbebacked Flyers | 46c | 9,150$4,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,941 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 56cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7577…9899backed Predators | 54c | 9,150$4,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,941 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Flyers | 44c | 8,995$3,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,037.2 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b68…6b1fbacked Flyers | 46c | 8,990$4,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,854.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 56cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13b4…cc7bbacked Predators | 54c | 8,990$4,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,854.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b8…72b5backed Predators | 54c | 8,700$4,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,698 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ee…f142backed Flyers | 46c | 8,700$4,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,694 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Flyers | 46c | 7,500$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,050 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Flyers | 45c | 7,500$3,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,124.87 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -9.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfd25…b542backed Flyers | 46c | 7,428$3,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,011.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Predators | 55c | 7,000$3,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,849.99 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Flyers | 44c | 6,164$2,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,451.84 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Flyers | 46c | 5,993$2,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,216.29 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Predators | 23c | 5,344$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Flyers | 47c | 5,318$2,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.3 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb84a…055dbacked Flyers | 47c | 5,273$2,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,794.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Flyers | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.97 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Flyers | 45c | 4,887$2,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.89 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Flyers | 45c | 4,625$2,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,543.75 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Predators | 56c | 4,500$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520.27 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa829…bc90backed Flyers | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Flyers | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c96…1390backed Predators | 54c | 3,798$2,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Flyers | 46c | 3,750$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,024.98 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Flyers | 60c | 3,715$2,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.66 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Flyers | 46c | 3,527$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,897.34 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Flyers | 45c | 3,487$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.03 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x414e…2973backed Predators | 54c | 3,469$1,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,873.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed Flyers | 46c | 3,003$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.79 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfee6…e72bbacked Predators | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Flyers | 46c | 2,924$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.78 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Flyers | 47c | 2,843$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.79 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0db8…9426backed Predators | 54c | 2,843$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1daf…a1d6backed Predators | 54c | 2,816$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed Flyers | 47c | 2,787$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.48 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf396…a22abacked Predators | 54c | 2,716$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Flyers | 45c | 2,638$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.96 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x072a…3e85backed Flyers | 48c | 2,617$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.22 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Flyers | 56c | 2,532$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.24 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Predators | 53c | 2,393$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.51 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Flyers | 45c | 2,314$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.61 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8646…a608backed Flyers | 47c | 2,053$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee8…a412backed Flyers | 47c | 2,053$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e4…7fd1backed Flyers | 48c | 2,052$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Flyers | 32c | 2,047$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.54 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Predators | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Flyers | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Predators | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…7dd6backed Flyers | 48c | 1,990$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Flyers | 46c | 1,960$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.15 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Flyers | 45c | 1,945$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.13 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e7…1036backed Flyers | 48c | 1,938$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Flyers | 47c | 1,853$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.39 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…34dbbacked Predators | 55c | 1,851$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.89 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -7.8wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc5…36bcbacked Predators | 55c | 1,725$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7914…67b8backed Predators | 54c | 1,685$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5851…c6d8backed Predators | 54c | 1,648$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8222…d4d0backed Predators | 54c | 1,611$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfae8…ff6ebacked Predators | 55c | 1,601$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Flyers | 46c | 1,600$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e48…af95backed Predators | 55c | 1,565$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Flyers | 45c | 1,502$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.26 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Predators | 6c | 1,475$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Flyers | 46c | 1,363$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.1 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab8c…0cbabacked Predators | 55c | 1,300$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90d8…20f0backed Flyers | 46c | 1,300$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Flyers | 48c | 1,278$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.14 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Flyers | 45c | 1,268$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.5 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d96…0b38backed Flyers | 48c | 1,260$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.42 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…52c1backed Flyers | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe40c…21a1backed Predators | 53c | 1,250$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db0…ece3backed Predators | 53c | 1,250$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd78f…0463backed Predators | 53c | 1,250$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecbd…8d64backed Flyers | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Flyers | 76c | 1,223$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.46 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2280…99d9backed Predators | 54c | 1,143$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a23…fd22backed Flyers | 47c | 1,120$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Flyers | 47c | 1,058$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.72 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Predators | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Flyers | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…e7f5backed Flyers | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe48a…3ce6backed Predators | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…9c77backed Predators | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flyers vs. Predatorsthis page
- Flyers vs. Predators: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Flyers (-1.5)Flyers won
- Spread: Predators (-1.5)Flyers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.