TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Jazz

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hawksof Hawks, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,161,162
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,465,788

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,161,162 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3657…6b14backed Hawks54c921,560$500,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421,558.782665.4%17 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Jazz46c626,719$287,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287,023.5715443.5%67 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Jazz28c300,000$82,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82,537.538248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3987…259ebacked Jazz47c263,160$122,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122,863.058022.5%18 W · 62 L-10.0wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-49.4%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Jazz45c200,961$90,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90,422.8826253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b8c…1556backed Jazz34c145,188$49,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,997.085646.4%26 W · 30 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+33.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7606…2836backed Hawks54c136,985$73,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,013.092365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+24.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Hawks56c132,189$74,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,849.062,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Hawks62c119,648$74,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,364.1819249.5%95 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Jazz43c119,319$51,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,720.421,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Hawks54c118,836$64,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,077.682,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Hawks56c74,017$41,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,567.2720055%110 W · 90 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Hawks59c68,700$40,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,287.0820253.5%108 W · 94 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43d4…13a2backed Jazz47c67,044$31,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,373.6812740.2%51 W · 76 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Hawks53c58,912$31,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,688.758843.2%38 W · 50 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jazz31c58,277$17,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,932.044,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Jazz47c57,865$27,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,196.596253.2%33 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Jazz46c50,000$23,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,00017354.3%94 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Jazz39c44,613$17,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,406.4626038.1%99 W · 161 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa925…e1c8backed Hawks47c42,306$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,306.158744.8%39 W · 48 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Hawks57c42,102$23,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,147.571,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Jazz41c41,325$16,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,870.045,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb082…f55ebacked Hawks53c41,096$21,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,315.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5922…3388backed Hawks54c40,586$21,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,663.584456.8%25 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Jazz46c40,000$18,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,399.9847848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Jazz47c35,000$16,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,529.7322457.1%128 W · 96 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Hawks75c33,187$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,187.2948448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Hawks54c30,560$16,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,976.9572450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1602…3674backed Hawks56c30,000$16,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,3002466.7%16 W · 8 L+4.8wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+37.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Jazz43c27,248$11,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,699.052,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ad4…3c1abacked Jazz44c23,456$10,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,320.647748.1%37 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Jazz45c22,057$9,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,940.9369852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Hawks55c21,500$11,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,739.9878445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Jazz44c20,000$8,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,8003237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-19%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Hawks54c19,999$10,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,149.711,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Jazz47c19,082$8,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,887.092,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x614b…bee6backed Jazz37c19,060$6,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,961.781050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked Hawks53c18,803$9,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,837.4111558.3%67 W · 48 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Jazz55c18,660$10,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,262.9959646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Jazz46c18,600$8,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,480.763,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c6f…89b9backed Jazz46c18,146$8,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,408.75540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-34.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jazz44c17,452$7,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,661.889,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Hawks58c17,087$9,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,094.2334062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Hawks75c15,640$11,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,896.771,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x575a…bba6backed Hawks53c15,094$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,094.3412529.6%37 W · 88 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Hawks78c14,783$11,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,246.591,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79a5…6a63backed Hawks57c14,636$8,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,282.31428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4987…804bbacked Hawks72c13,915$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,914.793148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff12…09f9backed Hawks75c13,327$9,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,383.7419388.1%170 W · 23 L+48.6wins+0.25per pick63cpaid+46.2%equal weight75+0.22 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Jazz21c12,937$2,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,665.748845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8a4…9e63backed Hawks72c12,602$9,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,528.493345.5%15 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Hawks56c12,004$6,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,286.2255346.8%259 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad40…107ebacked Jazz43c11,100$4,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,773450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+81.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Hawks56c11,000$6,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,84047748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75c4…4cd0backed Hawks53c10,913$5,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,1292147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Jazz43c10,773$4,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,632.421,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72cb…c793backed Hawks13c10,720$1,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,326.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+669.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jazz34c10,637$3,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,577.188,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf267…e0e1backed Hawks53c10,304$5,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,842.87944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c76…bfdfbacked Jazz43c10,100$4,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,343560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b71…8044backed Hawks56c10,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,4008939.3%35 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Hawks53c10,000$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,70044648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Jazz45c10,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50080146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Jazz18c10,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80034645.4%157 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b00…15d9backed Hawks57c10,000$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3001100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b6…630cbacked Jazz44c9,940$4,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,373.66352.4%33 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Jazz36c9,562$3,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,404.611,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86a3…33dbbacked Hawks53c9,500$5,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,4654045%18 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e60…94ccbacked Hawks55c9,000$4,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,050560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+67.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40c8…ac92backed Jazz45c9,000$4,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,05030%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d24…e4c8backed Hawks55c8,900$4,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,005450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f94…98b8backed Jazz45c8,800$3,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,960450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08cd…ef8bbacked Jazz45c8,740$3,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,935.9425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-53.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6dc…ea02backed Hawks55c8,650$4,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,892.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+39%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc874…b3fdbacked Hawks58c8,600$4,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,612520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick58cpaid-65.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3904…0dcfbacked Hawks58c8,400$4,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,528771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick46cpaid+73.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf915…388fbacked Hawks59c8,400$4,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,444977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a38…950bbacked Hawks54c8,212$4,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,777.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Jazz30c8,119$2,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4238846.6%41 W · 47 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d6e…2bfebacked Hawks57c8,100$4,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,482366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b3…40d4backed Hawks73c8,000$5,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1803966.7%26 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc701…f932backed Hawks53c8,000$4,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7605250%26 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x48f9…8aa2backed Jazz44c7,701$3,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,388.44666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Jazz26c7,610$1,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,986.281,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Jazz17c7,500$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.9742640.4%172 W · 254 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Jazz43c7,161$3,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,075.895049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4d8…ba58backed Jazz52c7,122$3,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,703.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x280b…4574backed Hawks45c7,081$3,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,894.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb6b…943abacked Hawks80c6,797$5,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,366.7415461.7%95 W · 59 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Jazz45c6,555$2,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,966.476850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1bc…bd81backed Hawks54c6,538$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,037.5713558.5%79 W · 56 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Jazz45c6,467$2,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9101,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc3…f722backed Jazz43c6,380$2,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,743.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6203…1522backed Hawks57c6,375$3,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,741.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Hawks53c5,734$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,674.3492753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c27…9f49backed Hawks56c5,572$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,451.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Hawks54c5,555$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,555.314753.1%78 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Jazz46c5,469$2,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,505.432,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0bd…efddbacked Hawks77c5,400$4,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2421369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Jazz49c5,247$2,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,580.741,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.