NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc2a6f6efcddbf1e4e5fe36225fcca240eeda4fcd0c565f66e3c8f802f1780ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Hawks, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,637
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,233
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,637 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Jazz | 52c | 28,544$14,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,767.49 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Hawks | 48c | 12,240$5,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,364.66 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hawks | 48c | 11,996$5,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,292.06 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1602…3674backed Hawks | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Jazz | 51c | 5,816$2,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,966.41 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Jazz | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Hawks | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Jazz | 54c | 3,886$2,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,098.33 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Hawks | 48c | 3,680$1,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,913.83 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Hawks | 49c | 3,274$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675.11 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…34dbbacked Hawks | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Hawks | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Jazz | 52c | 2,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.95 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Jazz | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Jazz | 52c | 1,748$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.79 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Hawks | 49c | 1,400$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Hawks | 46c | 1,061$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.87 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Jazz | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Hawks | 46c | 700$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x897d…90c9backed Jazz | 8c | 670.26$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.58 | 165 | 59.4%98 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Hawks | 50c | 635$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.5 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Jazz | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Jazz | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1377…56aebacked Hawks | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Hawks | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d6…36cbbacked Jazz | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | -19.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hawks | 53c | 484$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.4 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec6…1d8ebacked Jazz | 51c | 420$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.2 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…914abacked Jazz | 53c | 378.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Jazz | 23c | 307.73$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.73 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7189…b454backed Jazz | 53c | 301.02$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3c…922dbacked Hawks | 48c | 299.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b2…6d9dbacked Jazz | 52c | 290$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.8 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Hawks | 45c | 285.5$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.03 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Jazz | 4c | 280.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Jazz | 52c | 267.16$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.92 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Hawks | 49c | 267$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.17 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Hawks | 48c | 217$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.84 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Hawks | 48c | 199.89$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.94 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hawks | 47c | 197.23$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.53 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Hawks | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfc…0fc2backed Hawks | 49c | 193.49$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.68 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb6…9aabbacked Jazz | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…ce17backed Hawks | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hawks | 42c | 114$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.02 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed Hawks | 49c | 112.24$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…9cf9backed Hawks | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Hawks | 47c | 102.95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.25 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Hawks | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Hawks | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Jazz | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e3…cf81backed Jazz | 49c | 99.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 189 | 55%104 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Hawks | 49c | 97.96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Hawks | 46c | 82.93$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.78 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Jazz | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Jazz | 51c | 71.05$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb7…8d07backed Hawks | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53f6…a514backed Jazz | 56c | 60.18$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Hawks | 49c | 57.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b2…3886backed Hawks | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Hawks | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…845bbacked Hawks | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2577…9493backed Hawks | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +40%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Jazz | 52c | 36.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x676a…601abacked Hawks | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hawks | 48c | 29.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2149…3a74backed Hawks | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb02d…c0bbbacked Hawks | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x926f…f72ebacked Hawks | 46c | 23.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5af1…5dc0backed Hawks | 46c | 23.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +151.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe333…4dc5backed Hawks | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +141.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6a…8955backed Jazz | 55c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7538backed Hawks | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…37fbbacked Hawks | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +140.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Jazz | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa351…17c3backed Jazz | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hawks (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Hawks (-0.5)Hawks won
- 1H Spread: Hawks (-1.5)Hawks won
- Hawks vs. JazzHawks won
- Hawks vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Jazz: O/U 231.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Jazz: O/U 232.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Jazz: O/U 233.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Jazz: O/U 234.5Over won
- Spread: Hawks (-1.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.