NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Jazz: O/U 232.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33799a7f12dc59c37bf493f8cf73e2003064145feb285c2e09615eb1f237cc9e

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Nov 14, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $146,987
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $153,565

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,987 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2c57…c94dbacked Over	52c	68,068$35,363 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32,704.88	51	51%26 W · 25 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	48c	50,131$23,822 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,821.7	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9165…5b98backed Over	53c	49,728$26,272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,456.73	252	48.4%122 W · 130 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc933…5366backed Under	48c	30,000$14,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,400	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Under	47c	15,555$7,311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,310.85	159	52.2%83 W · 76 L	+9.2wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under	48c	5,665$2,719 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,719	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Under	48c	4,500$2,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,160	227	52%118 W · 109 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under	47c	4,500$2,115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,114.99	662	50.8%336 W · 326 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Under	48c	2,760$1,325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,324.8	477	51.8%247 W · 230 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4cf0…251cbacked Under	49c	2,000$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980	73	39.7%29 W · 44 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under	48c	1,772$843 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$842.64	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under	48c	1,766$840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$839.84	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Under	50c	1,087$541 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540.56	241	51.9%125 W · 116 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	48c	1,055$505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$505.4	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Over	53c	1,024$543 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$481.28	698	52%363 W · 335 L	+10.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6bd…270cbacked Over	51c	980.39$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480.39	124	52.4%65 W · 59 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under	49c	918$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.7	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under	47c	837$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393.39	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked Under	48c	818.6$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389.36	176	44.9%79 W · 97 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under	47c	745$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350.15	1,451	49.7%721 W · 730 L	+18.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Under	48c	681.71$326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$326	2,265	43.4%982 W · 1,283 L	-26.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over	53c	566.04$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$266.04	1,661	50.3%836 W · 825 L	-14.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under	46c	400$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184	456	47.1%215 W · 241 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	843	42.9%362 W · 481 L	-39.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under	48c	400$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192	1,198	38.8%465 W · 733 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Under	46c	399.08$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.58	77	41.6%32 W · 45 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x117c…db06backed Over	53c	377.36$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.36	180	47.2%85 W · 95 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd07…cb4ebacked Over	53c	354.72$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.72	201	43.3%87 W · 114 L	-12.4wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over	51c	315$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.35	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under	48c	305.77$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.77	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa198…9601backed Over	50c	304$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152	163	46.6%76 W · 87 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed Under	47c	300$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141	102	46.1%47 W · 55 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x832b…3ae1backed Under	47c	300$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x65d4…daa2backed Under	51c	294.12$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Over	51c	294$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.06	272	47.8%130 W · 142 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe49a…f498backed Over	53c	286.79$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.79	57	43.9%25 W · 32 L	-6.0wins	-0.11per pick	54cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe3af…8ac9backed Over	53c	286.79$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.79	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under	49c	286$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.14	762	49.5%377 W · 385 L	-8.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91f3…0d57backed Over	53c	265.09$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.59	93	48.4%45 W · 48 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over	53c	242$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.74	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5dd…b094backed Over	53c	235$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.45	339	50.1%170 W · 169 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xebb1…e7afbacked Over	52c	200.38$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.38	368	54.1%199 W · 169 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Under	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	617	40.7%251 W · 366 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d7f…f524backed Over	51c	196.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.08	29	69%20 W · 9 L	+2.7wins	+0.09per pick	60cpaid	+30.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Over	53c	188.68$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.68	656	49.2%323 W · 333 L	+9.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b20…7c67backed Over	53c	188.68$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.68	195	52.8%103 W · 92 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa72c…a633backed Over	53c	188.68$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.68	99	53.5%53 W · 46 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked Over	53c	188.68$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.68	245	56.3%138 W · 107 L	+10.5wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7180…bdbabacked Over	54c	185.19$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.19	156	57.7%90 W · 66 L	+8.4wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa499…7873backed Over	55c	182$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.9	49	55.1%27 W · 22 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b23…39fdbacked Under	48c	166.67$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over	51c	156$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.5	362	48.9%177 W · 185 L	-6.6wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x553b…f71cbacked Under	49c	150$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.5	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+2.8wins	+0.13per pick	49cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52b6…b02ebacked Over	53c	132.08$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.08	223	42.2%94 W · 129 L	-7.4wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2921…78b3backed Over	53c	132.08$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.08	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcca…da80backed Over	53c	120$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.6	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-2.4wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51f6…368cbacked Over	53c	113.21$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.21	60	46.7%28 W · 32 L	-4.9wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Over	50c	109.09$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.55	346	45.7%158 W · 188 L	+12.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Under	48c	104.17$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	289	49.1%142 W · 147 L	-9.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66fe…e123backed Over	53c	100$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47	186	56.5%105 W · 81 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked Over	51c	100$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	549	51.9%285 W · 264 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0dbb…2836backed Over	53c	98.11$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.11	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	65cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e28…3e73backed Over	51c	98.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.04	91	58.2%53 W · 38 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64b7…1dd8backed Over	53c	96.23$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.23	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.16per pick	46cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x110d…cd01backed Over	53c	94.34$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.34	345	56.2%194 W · 151 L	+17.1wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d45…1ba7backed Over	53c	94.34$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.34	112	64.3%72 W · 40 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	64cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc58e…0893backed Over	55c	90.91$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.91	34	58.8%20 W · 14 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd33…81d1backed Under	47c	64$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.08	46	47.8%22 W · 24 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc34c…39dbbacked Under	48c	60$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.8	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4562…4f54backed Over	50c	60$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…1943backed Over	51c	58.82$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.82	201	50.7%102 W · 99 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27ec…ad73backed Over	55c	54.55$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.55	194	51.5%100 W · 94 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9fc…4f2bbacked Over	53c	53.21$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.01	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+90.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18b8…02c6backed Over	54c	50$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3543…c63fbacked Over	52c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.2	65	44.6%29 W · 36 L	-7.2wins	-0.11per pick	56cpaid	-26%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked Over	51c	39.22$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.22	358	51.7%185 W · 173 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed Over	53c	38.98$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.32	364	23.4%85 W · 279 L	-15.3wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5729…c366backed Over	52c	38.46$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.46	48	50%24 W · 24 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57bc…d82dbacked Over	53c	38$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.86	56	57.1%32 W · 24 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Over	53c	37.74$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.74	232	48.7%113 W · 119 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b0b…1466backed Over	53c	37.74$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.74	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad87…f9a1backed Over	53c	37.74$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.74	350	52%182 W · 168 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4234…6b87backed Over	54c	37.04$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.04	40	55%22 W · 18 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe44…1720backed Over	53c	23.77$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.17	65	36.9%24 W · 41 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f73…cebcbacked Over	53c	22.64$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.64	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x638d…56ffbacked Over	60c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.10per pick	57cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f91…7c76backed Over	51c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.8	98	52%51 W · 47 L	+6.0wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Hawks vs. Jazz: O/U 232.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event