TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Rockets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rocketsof Trail Blazers, Rockets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$492,409
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$492,318

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $492,409 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 527 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Trail Blazers5c91,161$4,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,481.094,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Trail Blazers26c40,000$10,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,40038248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5646…3819backed Trail Blazers25c20,845$5,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,202.8412938.8%50 W · 79 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0d9…da5ebacked Rockets74c15,631$11,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,987.064339.5%17 W · 26 L-5.4wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Trail Blazers26c13,710$3,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,564.6312334.1%42 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Rockets75c13,333$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,333.3334062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Trail Blazers27c10,019$2,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,716.0134645.4%157 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bd6…918ebacked Trail Blazers0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106811.8%8 W · 60 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick9cpaid-25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Trail Blazers2c9,973$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.871,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ce…0772backed Rockets73c9,212$6,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,487.3211741.9%49 W · 68 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Rockets74c8,183$6,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,127.4819249.5%95 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdeaf…dbaabacked Trail Blazers15c8,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20037930.6%116 W · 263 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5922…3388backed Rockets74c7,514$5,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,954.664456.8%25 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Trail Blazers27c7,171$1,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,920.682,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Rockets75c6,692$5,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,683.352,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Rockets74c6,315$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,615.4517162.6%107 W · 64 L+10.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Trail Blazers7c6,022$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.323,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Trail Blazers25c5,724$1,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,455.2655346.8%259 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb65e…431abacked Trail Blazers1c5,017$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401540%6 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-33.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Trail Blazers25c5,000$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.951,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Trail Blazers0c4,525$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.514573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Trail Blazers26c4,513$1,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,173.3869852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Rockets74c4,246$3,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.9515855.7%88 W · 70 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Trail Blazers25c4,147$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.632,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Trail Blazers31c4,083$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.6685344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Trail Blazers27c4,050$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,093.51,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Trail Blazers26c4,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04076850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc550…353fbacked Trail Blazers25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.996636.4%24 W · 42 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Rockets73c4,000$2,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.981,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94e5…6cfebacked Rockets74c3,843$2,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.184456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Trail Blazers25c3,775$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.7246928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Trail Blazers2c3,269$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.581,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Rockets79c3,179$2,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.111,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Rockets74c2,700$1,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.9841652.2%217 W · 199 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbac2…727bbacked Trail Blazers2c2,678$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552536%9 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Trail Blazers1c2,660$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.788783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4779…7bcabacked Trail Blazers26c2,500$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6502661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8005…abc0backed Trail Blazers30c2,500$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.52740.7%11 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Trail Blazers12c2,463$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.052,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Trail Blazers25c2,360$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.9618142%76 W · 105 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecd3…4285backed Rockets75c2,319$1,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.752540%10 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7784…5b6dbacked Rockets75c2,246$1,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.51442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-40.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Trail Blazers24c2,246$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.545,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Rockets72c2,186$1,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.1743051.4%221 W · 209 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Trail Blazers6c2,150$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.991,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdefe…bdb8backed Trail Blazers25c2,143$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.754725.5%12 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf922…e9c7backed Trail Blazers17c2,000$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.962030%6 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-51.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Trail Blazers26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.979649%47 W · 49 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ac…2047backed Trail Blazers26c1,923$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+30.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a6c…bd76backed Rockets75c1,923$1,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.75966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb29…ea29backed Trail Blazers26c1,834$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.7413943.2%60 W · 79 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3d…fbbcbacked Trail Blazers27c1,800$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb08e…bb22backed Rockets74c1,800$1,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Trail Blazers25c1,800$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.9943247.5%205 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf0a…8ca0backed Rockets73c1,700$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4591758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Rockets74c1,688$1,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.971346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Rockets74c1,549$1,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.799,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Trail Blazers4c1,538$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.352165.6%12 W · 204 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick11cpaid-61%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Trail Blazers24c1,500$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.991,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Trail Blazers24c1,500$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.9824330.9%75 W · 168 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x685e…6f30backed Rockets73c1,500$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.9710757.9%62 W · 45 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf915…388fbacked Rockets74c1,351$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.35977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1fc1…ffeebacked Rockets75c1,333$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.3336943.4%160 W · 209 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Rockets78c1,249$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.6729458.5%172 W · 122 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b19…98f5backed Trail Blazers27c1,223$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3282725.9%7 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Rockets74c1,200$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31233146.2%153 W · 178 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Trail Blazers26c1,200$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3121,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Trail Blazers17c1,160$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.83,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd138…7058backed Trail Blazers26c1,142$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9913446.3%62 W · 72 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Trail Blazers27c1,114$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.6533735.3%119 W · 218 L+1.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Trail Blazers25c1,096$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.1326038.1%99 W · 161 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Trail Blazers25c1,045$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.7118438.6%71 W · 113 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4d43…bec0backed Trail Blazers7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.52862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Trail Blazers25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25078445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x830d…3f0ebacked Trail Blazers27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27016532.1%53 W · 112 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4987…804bbacked Rockets75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2503148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Trail Blazers25c999.99$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25044337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Trail Blazers25c999.94$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.989851%50 W · 48 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Rockets74c995.18$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.833743.6%147 W · 190 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12ea…0722backed Rockets61c959.15$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.482035%7 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Rockets72c942.35$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.862,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e5…dc86backed Rockets74c923.57$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.134100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfeec…a84abacked Rockets74c918.92$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.9211843.2%51 W · 67 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc557…e530backed Trail Blazers25c864.12$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.036327%17 W · 46 L-7.4wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-46.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc174…66f2backed Rockets70c853.8$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.813766.4%91 W · 46 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d4a…21cbbacked Rockets74c840.28$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.472321.7%5 W · 18 L-5.9wins-0.26per pick47cpaid-64.7%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Rockets74c837.84$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.841,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Rockets75c817$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.2594951.3%487 W · 462 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Trail Blazers16c787.39$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.891,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Trail Blazers26c778$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.2685742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked Trail Blazers26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20042827.3%117 W · 311 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Trail Blazers28c746.21$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.915,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Trail Blazers15c722.91$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.071,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e97…7680backed Rockets75c721.67$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.424163.4%26 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Trail Blazers25c695.37$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.362,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb391…8939backed Rockets75c672.67$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.173751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb06c…6961backed Rockets75c666.82$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.8228063.6%178 W · 102 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f00…8982backed Rockets76c650.99$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.244676.1%35 W · 11 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+21.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa271…f308backed Rockets75c650$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a0…c3b9backed Rockets73c600$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16227547.6%131 W · 144 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.