NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11872e1734b018f00188e4ac9122c4a3082e904d6bbc889998e0d18fb7408c08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,769
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,769 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Under | 50c | 17,082$8,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,458.1 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Under | 49c | 9,632$4,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,727.9 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 51c | 5,325$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,625.49 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 5,265$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,474.53 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Over | 54c | 2,972$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.22 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Over | 50c | 2,926$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…f1ecbacked Over | 51c | 2,747$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.71 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf0…251cbacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 47c | 1,454$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.85 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over | 53c | 1,362$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.3 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…270cbacked Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Over | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7776…7372backed Over | 51c | 847.06$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed Over | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 48c | 547$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.62 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 44c | 477$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.88 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 47c | 443.98$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.67 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…9f3fbacked Over | 50c | 360$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 48c | 252$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.96 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f3…0d57backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e13…732fbacked Over | 53c | 189$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.83 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 46c | 138.45$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.66 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Over | 53c | 114$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.58 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…f77ebacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked Over | 53c | 92.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa873…9ed0backed Over | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd33…81d1backed Over | 51c | 59.96$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4562…4f54backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 47c | 49.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: O/U 235.5this page
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-8.5)Rockets won
- Trail Blazers vs. RocketsRockets won
- Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: O/U 234.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: O/U 236.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: O/U 237.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.