NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x351f4f295444dd225faa733e74182fecd8b919681c4a06a1a0e4dc556ad82381
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Rockets, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,809
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,756
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,809 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Trail Blazers | 55c | 30,000$16,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,500 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Rockets | 45c | 18,300$8,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,065 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…9af2backed Trail Blazers | 5c | 15,777$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Rockets | 47c | 11,593$5,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,155.04 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Trail Blazers | 56c | 8,923$4,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,996.61 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Rockets | 44c | 7,272$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,072.32 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 7,219$3,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,826.3 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 45c | 4,282$1,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,354.88 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Rockets | 50c | 2,019$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.26 | 369 | 43.4%160 W · 209 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Rockets | 45c | 1,656$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.56 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Rockets | 45c | 1,650$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.5 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426f…e76bbacked Rockets | 46c | 1,430$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.2 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 1,250$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Rockets | 47c | 1,213$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.77 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…270cbacked Rockets | 47c | 1,065$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.44 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 962.99$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.03 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 271 | 58.3%158 W · 113 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 778$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.34 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Rockets | 46c | 699.99$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.99 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9844…5e6cbacked Trail Blazers | 56c | 692.27$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.67 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Rockets | 44c | 663.04$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.66 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 555$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.7 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…3308backed Rockets | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb5…cdb0backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 425.02$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.76 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…e803backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 423.04$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.67 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 396.64$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.22 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Rockets | 45c | 265$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.75 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Rockets | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1377…56aebacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Rockets | 47c | 125$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.25 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6941…efd5backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 118.18$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -7.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…7b85backed Rockets | 49c | 110.2$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f8…9166backed Rockets | 47c | 108.34$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.42 | 171 | 45.6%78 W · 93 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Rockets | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Rockets | 45c | 100.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 98.4$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Trail Blazers | 55c | 94.34$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.89 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Trail Blazers | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf921…94dbbacked Rockets | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Rockets | 53c | 75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Rockets | 24c | 70.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.78 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 57.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 285 | 47.7%136 W · 149 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd44…b2e2backed Rockets | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…abf0backed Trail Blazers | 56c | 35.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…7701backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 30.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Rockets | 49c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ece…8211backed Rockets | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-8.5)this page
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Rockets won
- Trail Blazers vs. RocketsRockets won
- Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: O/U 234.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: O/U 235.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: O/U 236.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: O/U 237.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.