NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60360986727d97cd9d2a2aaa05486aedeeeb2e864c9968b1cce64601383caafb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $194,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $196,514
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2635…5408backed Under | 47c | 172,509$81,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,079.27 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Over | 53c | 100,000$53,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,000 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 53c | 50,239$26,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,612.77 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 18,849$9,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,871.97 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Under | 47c | 11,736$5,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,531.3 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 53c | 4,970$2,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,335.9 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Over | 53c | 1,832$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.09 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 53c | 1,305$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.29 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Over | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 271 | 58.3%158 W · 113 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0585…5fa1backed Over | 54c | 777.78$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.78 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 53c | 594$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.18 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…5ec0backed Over | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcca…da80backed Over | 55c | 445.45$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.45 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 54c | 242$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.32 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Over | 54c | 187.12$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.45 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69dc…336dbacked Over | 54c | 183.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.64 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3dd…45d3backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8556…a766backed Over | 55c | 179$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21e2…bd6dbacked Over | 54c | 151.09$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.5 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Over | 55c | 125.45$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.45 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7f…f524backed Over | 55c | 121.68$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.22 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…81d6backed Over | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 157 | 59.9%94 W · 63 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda37…6a4abacked Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e3…cf81backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 189 | 55%104 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…089abacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b2…3886backed Over | 55c | 92.49$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.62 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b20…7c67backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48f8…9166backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 171 | 45.6%78 W · 93 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…d8cabacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d45…1ba7backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 112 | 64.3%72 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf139…1d3bbacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 44c | 82.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Over | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 253 | 51%129 W · 124 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3b…51dabacked Over | 55c | 65.45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 55c | 62.22$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…1943backed Over | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 45c | 57.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b8…68a5backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…748cbacked Over | 54c | 55.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeee…a4a9backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…aec0backed Over | 55c | 43.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 158 | 38.6%61 W · 97 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…7d5fbacked Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Over | 53c | 37.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f7…f858backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57bc…d82dbacked Over | 55c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73dd…bc8abacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 54c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 55c | 29.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf597…f4aebacked Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…7a20backed Over | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f0…67e3backed Over | 55c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8296…e9cbbacked Over | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…3ae9backed Over | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac7…03efbacked Over | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…88e5backed Over | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f73…cebcbacked Over | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8043…7fe3backed Over | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b8…8e45backed Over | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: O/U 234.5this page
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-8.5)Rockets won
- Trail Blazers vs. RocketsRockets won
- Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: O/U 235.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: O/U 236.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: O/U 237.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.