NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed11903f1b7f589e999b8f7e31d41b95bb9c4af0c586a0d08f84fbfb13dfd953
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Rockets, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,277
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,197
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,277 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 61,560$31,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,616.17 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Rockets | 49c | 36,095$17,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,408.28 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Rockets | 50c | 12,000$5,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,040 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 48c | 10,491$5,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,455.32 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 8,419$4,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,209.49 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6734…2e18backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 8,338$4,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,321.84 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rockets | 48c | 5,025$2,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,613 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Rockets | 51c | 3,923$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,922.53 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Rockets | 48c | 3,568$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855.54 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Rockets | 48c | 2,362$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.47 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rockets | 48c | 1,144$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.01 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef87…7231backed Rockets | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rockets | 48c | 875$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe17…98e9backed Rockets | 50c | 416$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 349.98$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.49 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Rockets | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3e…1726backed Rockets | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Rockets | 51c | 254.9$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Rockets | 48c | 205$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.6 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x744b…848ebacked Rockets | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Rockets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ae…5fdebacked Rockets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 190$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dd…490bbacked Rockets | 53c | 189$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.83 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa43…3215backed Rockets | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Rockets | 49c | 149.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 115.64$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.23 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeff7…4bb3backed Rockets | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…184cbacked Rockets | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…8117backed Rockets | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 204 | 44.6%91 W · 113 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b8…68a5backed Rockets | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Rockets | 49c | 72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.95 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 377 | 55.7%210 W · 167 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd57e…22a9backed Rockets | 50c | 66.62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Rockets | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f1…f0e8backed Rockets | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 239 | 38.1%91 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Rockets | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Rockets | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 158 | 38.6%61 W · 97 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…845bbacked Rockets | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f91…7c76backed Rockets | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf921…94dbbacked Rockets | 56c | 24.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c28…bc2cbacked Rockets | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ece…8211backed Rockets | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d61…ce94backed Rockets | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)this page
- Spread: Rockets (-8.5)Rockets won
- Trail Blazers vs. RocketsRockets won
- Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: O/U 234.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: O/U 235.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: O/U 236.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: O/U 237.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.