NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bc1e01af24cc30b209feb4b862927de32232218267b8d53df9f1b32305f7a18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Trail Blazers, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,493
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,493 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rockets | 66c | 496.75$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.38 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Trail Blazers | 34c | 385.64$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.04 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ee…10c4backed Trail Blazers | 23c | 133$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe0…8348backed Trail Blazers | 23c | 131$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bbd…8e99backed Trail Blazers | 24c | 127$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac56…fe60backed Trail Blazers | 23c | 123$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cb…842fbacked Trail Blazers | 23c | 122$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0c…213abacked Rockets | 77c | 122$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b06…dedebacked Rockets | 76c | 121$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e9…8223backed Rockets | 77c | 119$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68cd…9ea6backed Rockets | 77c | 118$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb332…c5aabacked Rockets | 77c | 117$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Trail Blazers | 17c | 111.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4813…5d7dbacked Rockets | 77c | 111$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: 1H Moneylinethis page
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-8.5)Rockets won
- Trail Blazers vs. RocketsRockets won
- Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: O/U 234.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: O/U 235.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: O/U 236.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: O/U 237.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.