TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xda37…6a4a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST1250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$14.8
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+42.9%+$9
Spread: Raptors (-7.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$24.25
Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$46
Pacers vs. Sunsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$39
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+156.4%+$61
Pacers vs. Jazzbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$56
Raptors vs. Netsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+26.6%+$21
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$52.43
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+100%+$52.5
Grizzlies vs. Suns: O/U 241.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$96
76ers vs. Wizardsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$70
All 12 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1250%6 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Ohio State (-4.5)backed Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$13.5
SMU Mustangs vs. Californiabacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10.85
Alabama vs. Auburnbacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+35.5%+$11.8
Ole Miss vs. Mississippi Statebacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+36.2%+$6.65
Spread: Central Michigan (-9.5)backed Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$52.84
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Akronbacked Akron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$71
Bowling vs. Eastern Michiganbacked Bowling · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$45.58
Houston vs. UCFbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+92.3%+$77.76
USC vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$69.36
Louisville vs. Virginia Techbacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$42.42
Duke vs. Clemsonbacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$122
O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$104.55
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.27per pick54cpaid-53.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Ducksbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+42.9%+$30
Sabres vs. Avalanchebacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$21.99
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$57
Kings vs. Canadiensbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+100%+$50
Jets vs. Ducksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$96.86
Bruins vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$86.62
Canucks vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$118
Maple Leafs vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$94
Devils vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$80
Ducks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$121.55
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Eagles (-7.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+94.2%+$9.7
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$14.1
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+100.2%+$42.55
Spread: Bills (-6.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Spread: Ravens (-8.5)backed Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+88.7%+$47
Cardinals vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+33%+$25.57
Giants vs. Bearsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$56.44
Colts vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+150%+$106.2
Vikings vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$170.4
Spread: Ravens (-7.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$102.41
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+138%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+194.1%+$66.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+56.2%+$36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+47.1%+$32.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+37.1%+$56.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+37%+$27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AS Roma vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+35.1%+$5.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$80.24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.