NHL · resolved market
Jets vs. Ducks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28a254324e0b2464f3c2b3a4b843b434941f9e0a703f694774cdc3fcb1222e1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ducksof Jets, Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $706,896
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $726,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $706,896 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 301 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Jets | 58c | 235,408$135,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135,760.13 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Ducks | 43c | 107,236$45,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,439.03 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Jets | 57c | 53,344$30,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,405.9 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Ducks | 42c | 40,867$17,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,621.7 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Jets | 12c | 39,509$4,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,907.49 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Ducks | 43c | 39,399$17,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,281.89 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf90e…0b56backed Jets | 56c | 36,359$20,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,477.36 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ducks | 42c | 35,015$14,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,145.52 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Ducks | 44c | 22,912$10,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,886.1 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Ducks | 77c | 21,843$16,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,921.42 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Ducks | 43c | 21,277$9,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,151.41 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Jets | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,199.94 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Ducks | 42c | 18,352$7,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,643.89 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e39…3122backed Jets | 58c | 17,241$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Ducks | 44c | 15,000$6,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,350 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Jets | 56c | 11,490$6,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,434.64 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Jets | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d07…9437backed Jets | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Jets | 56c | 9,000$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,040 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Ducks | 43c | 8,727$3,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,947.35 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Ducks | 42c | 5,750$2,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,334.99 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Ducks | 50c | 5,402$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,701.85 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Jets | 56c | 4,515$2,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,528.36 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Jets | 57c | 4,500$2,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,565 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Ducks | 44c | 4,444$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,488.64 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d1…9d8fbacked Ducks | 44c | 4,100$1,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,295.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Jets | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Jets | 55c | 3,499$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.36 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Ducks | 42c | 3,491$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,024.77 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Jets | 56c | 3,399$1,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,918.03 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Ducks | 44c | 3,035$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.04 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Jets | 56c | 3,005$1,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682.81 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8005…abc0backed Jets | 45c | 2,987$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.3 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Jets | 57c | 2,924$1,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,653.46 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Ducks | 43c | 2,889$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.32 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Jets | 56c | 2,804$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582.5 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Jets | 56c | 2,747$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.08 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…34dbbacked Jets | 51c | 2,674$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -7.8wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Ducks | 74c | 2,663$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.62 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Ducks | 44c | 2,659$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.04 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Jets | 56c | 2,479$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.29 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf4…d167backed Jets | 57c | 2,477$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.77 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Ducks | 43c | 2,330$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.1 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x072a…3e85backed Jets | 57c | 2,317$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.2 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Jets | 57c | 2,274$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.15 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Ducks | 46c | 2,153$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.74 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jets | 32c | 2,151$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.54 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Ducks | 42c | 2,052$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.04 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Jets | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Ducks | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e48…c23bbacked Jets | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Jets | 56c | 1,937$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.59 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Ducks | 62c | 1,806$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.66 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87ee…eed1backed Jets | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffbc…fbc5backed Ducks | 44c | 1,716$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9195…72a4backed Jets | 59c | 1,698$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Ducks | 42c | 1,666$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.28 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Jets | 57c | 1,618$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.75 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceda…1bd9backed Ducks | 63c | 1,574$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Jets | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Ducks | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ec…6933backed Jets | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.99 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed Jets | 57c | 1,472$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.06 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Ducks | 67c | 1,459$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.71 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Ducks | 42c | 1,450$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Ducks | 42c | 1,400$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…1011backed Jets | 12c | 1,300$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Jets | 58c | 1,166$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.28 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…b502backed Ducks | 43c | 1,160$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Ducks | 45c | 1,116$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Jets | 57c | 1,102$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.08 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3445…7488backed Jets | 9c | 1,075$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Jets | 26c | 1,064$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.08 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Ducks | 43c | 1,016$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.2 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Jets | 9c | 1,013$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.38 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e3…0b75backed Ducks | 77c | 1,003$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.09 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Ducks | 62c | 991$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.18 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Ducks | 50c | 945$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.5 | 201 | 37.8%76 W · 125 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea7a…446bbacked Ducks | 44c | 909.09$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.09 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd8…eb7bbacked Ducks | 43c | 900$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Jets | 56c | 896$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.76 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ducks | 60c | 838.72$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.82 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Jets | 24c | 800$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Ducks | 43c | 790.97$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.85 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Ducks | 44c | 762$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.72 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Jets | 23c | 755.21$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.7 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ducks | 75c | 746.04$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.88 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f6…db09backed Ducks | 44c | 700$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7c…08a5backed Jets | 55c | 700$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Ducks | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…1ed3backed Ducks | 43c | 638.54$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.97 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Jets | 58c | 618.97$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe931…138bbacked Jets | 36c | 613.7$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Jets | 56c | 600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…303dbacked Ducks | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.4 | 220 | 51.4%113 W · 107 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Ducks | 41c | 569.82$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.2 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Ducks | 79c | 569.62$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.62 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Ducks | 79c | 569.62$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.62 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Ducks | 66c | 560.04$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.19 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Ducks | 44c | 550.45$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.25 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jets vs. Ducksthis page
- Jets vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5Under won
- Jets vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Jets (-1.5)Ducks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.