Us Politics · resolved market
Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa94f9df0ae6bf98ca120ace7a490232f33df5ad51d55de61801b6c2f0a1d1b7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $741,782
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $725,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $741,782 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 567 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x036e…9276backed Yes | 62c | 207,164$128,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,913.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 63c | 75,793$47,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,075.07 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed No | 35c | 75,342$26,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,716.56 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaa…8420backed No | 37c | 59,648$22,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,052.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed No | 38c | 42,955$16,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,395.85 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c26…cf53backed No | 44c | 37,311$16,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,326.54 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eda…75ddbacked Yes | 63c | 35,754$22,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,345.65 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…3f73backed Yes | 72c | 28,435$20,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,827.02 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed No | 36c | 22,849$8,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,324.86 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked No | 36c | 19,319$6,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,915.51 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 61c | 18,330$11,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,071.85 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c87…9bd4backed No | 36c | 16,914$6,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,147.2 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed No | 37c | 14,526$5,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,371.22 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 66c | 12,633$8,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,313 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3560…1b93backed No | 37c | 12,000$4,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,391.46 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…0b61backed No | 39c | 10,328$3,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,985.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c0…305abacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d71…82e5backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +124.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…72bebacked No | 32c | 9,637$3,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,130.79 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbe…106bbacked No | 39c | 8,292$3,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,219.58 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 39c | 5,448$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.66 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc5…7c0abacked Yes | 63c | 4,977$3,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,832.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 36c | 4,920$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764.23 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed No | 35c | 4,800$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,697 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 1c | 4,790$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 216 | 34.3%74 W · 142 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…251cbacked No | 42c | 4,687$1,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968.54 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf760…bf84backed No | 37c | 4,366$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +418.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d0…70c2backed No | 32c | 4,300$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed No | 33c | 4,000$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1604…ff0ebacked Yes | 65c | 3,991$2,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.35 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9c…0e0fbacked No | 31c | 3,972$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e5…6444backed No | 39c | 3,808$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed No | 39c | 3,775$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.53 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 26cpaid | -76%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7177…ddefbacked Yes | 57c | 3,689$2,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 70c | 3,594$2,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.47 | 119 | 36.1%43 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 3,385$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.29 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed No | 36c | 3,250$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.65 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3258…eb4dbacked No | 32c | 3,096$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc3…b21fbacked No | 36c | 3,079$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.84 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 14c | 2,901$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.89 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…ef5fbacked No | 37c | 2,898$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.13 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +143.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 36c | 2,888$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.58 | 184 | 45.1%83 W · 101 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd486…2287backed No | 41c | 2,834$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.94 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00e1…b679backed No | 37c | 2,739$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed No | 34c | 2,738$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.08 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked No | 40c | 2,700$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.33 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b91…ae77backed No | 36c | 2,633$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.67 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | +16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5217…ec29backed No | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7f…38ffbacked No | 37c | 2,458$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf532…70eabacked No | 37c | 2,455$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Yes | 64c | 2,300$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.66 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked No | 31c | 2,258$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.6 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…6accbacked No | 35c | 2,254$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.12 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 24cpaid | -88.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 36c | 2,128$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.08 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 40c | 2,083$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.87 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed No | 38c | 1,982$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.98 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…1601backed Yes | 65c | 1,883$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.56 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked No | 27c | 1,872$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ece…3893backed Yes | 61c | 1,861$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 34c | 1,840$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5af9…1f82backed No | 40c | 1,690$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee1…1801backed No | 32c | 1,600$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed No | 39c | 1,583$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…8218backed No | 32c | 1,550$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.81 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…7e75backed No | 36c | 1,526$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d63…348dbacked Yes | 64c | 1,459$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed No | 33c | 1,420$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.74 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked No | 43c | 1,406$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.85 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked Yes | 60c | 1,388$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.39 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked No | 43c | 1,373$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.2 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…81e6backed No | 34c | 1,352$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc28a…7978backed No | 31c | 1,338$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c3…36eebacked No | 41c | 1,300$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.96 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked No | 38c | 1,289$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.73 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 25cpaid | -89.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x584b…e70fbacked No | 31c | 1,260$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed No | 37c | 1,251$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.44 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefc3…081fbacked No | 40c | 1,236$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…176dbacked No | 50c | 1,220$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 67c | 1,200$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 46c | 1,170$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d50…9ff4backed No | 38c | 1,170$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7979…202fbacked Yes | 66c | 1,138$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Yes | 73c | 1,106$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.13 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9722…5304backed No | 32c | 1,069$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ea…ded9backed No | 42c | 1,045$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65a…1a92backed No | 38c | 1,040$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd7…1778backed No | 33c | 1,028$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb83b…dfbebacked No | 39c | 1,020$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f3…748cbacked No | 33c | 1,017$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e3…f4a0backed Yes | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…eec6backed Yes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09d6…0fdabacked No | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff2…6984backed No | 31c | 970.43$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd570…b90abacked No | 40c | 926$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.24 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 61c | 925$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.05 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 6c | 923.59$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 137 | 14.6%20 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Yes | 53c | 920.84$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.79 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -87.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x162b…06d8backed No | 41c | 903.39$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2f…077ebacked No | 42c | 900$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…2202backed No | 38c | 899.98$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.99 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.