College Football · resolved market
SMU Mustangs vs. California
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf30a0c6f656bd836157f04bd0f939c3b8401f5b5c1a2479cedd3e273564aff81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Californiaof SMU Mustangs, California
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $425,521
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $455,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $425,521 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed SMU Mustangs | 56c | 60,000$33,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,599.99 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed California | 48c | 29,866$14,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,572.58 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked California | 40c | 23,634$9,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,258.86 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked California | 17c | 22,588$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,748.04 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked California | 17c | 16,394$2,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,607.29 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed California | 15c | 15,875$2,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,493.84 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked California | 16c | 13,914$2,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,686.32 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed California | 56c | 10,325$5,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,574.01 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed SMU Mustangs | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked California | 64c | 7,911$5,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,884.48 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked California | 17c | 7,000$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,810 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed California | 16c | 6,500$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,439.99 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed California | 33c | 5,838$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,927 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked California | 35c | 4,502$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,934.07 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed California | 60c | 4,222$2,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,688.9 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed California | 58c | 3,693$2,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.3 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9571…1d98backed SMU Mustangs | 80c | 3,413$2,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,729.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed California | 17c | 3,285$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,726.47 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed SMU Mustangs | 45c | 3,254$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.78 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed California | 18c | 3,115$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,548.5 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed California | 17c | 2,996$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,486.85 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3d…35d0backed California | 26c | 2,828$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,092.91 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked SMU Mustangs | 41c | 2,686$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.3 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed California | 16c | 2,500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked California | 16c | 2,500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.94 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked California | 35c | 2,448$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.17 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked California | 15c | 2,263$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,923.14 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked SMU Mustangs | 44c | 2,096$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.86 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…6909backed SMU Mustangs | 29c | 2,007$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed California | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.99 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed California | 19c | 1,800$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.94 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked California | 52c | 1,700$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.06 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed California | 48c | 1,690$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.66 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked California | 16c | 1,630$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked California | 16c | 1,505$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264 | 134 | 17.2%23 W · 111 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed SMU Mustangs | 32c | 1,422$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.1 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce1…565dbacked California | 18c | 1,389$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.89 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…75c1backed California | 72c | 1,272$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.54 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed SMU Mustangs | 40c | 1,224$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.77 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed California | 17c | 1,220$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.59 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked California | 18c | 1,200$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.11 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed California | 48c | 1,130$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.76 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed SMU Mustangs | 27c | 1,057$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.64 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed California | 17c | 1,031$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.09 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac01…2d77backed California | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed SMU Mustangs | 30c | 986.02$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.1 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked SMU Mustangs | 36c | 911.11$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked California | 17c | 800$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed California | 16c | 736.9$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked SMU Mustangs | 30c | 704.25$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.69 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52dd…ed91backed SMU Mustangs | 32c | 577$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed California | 17c | 558.46$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.94 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed SMU Mustangs | 43c | 528.11$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.29 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5132…61a7backed California | 65c | 523.51$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.73 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.41per pick | 57cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked SMU Mustangs | 25c | 500.56$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.04 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8470…74bdbacked SMU Mustangs | 53c | 456.6$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed SMU Mustangs | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21df…fdbcbacked California | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.85 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed California | 56c | 350$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed California | 17c | 350$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.2 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed California | 75c | 350$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed SMU Mustangs | 44c | 312.03$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.36 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9f…901bbacked SMU Mustangs | 80c | 308.89$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…e0bdbacked California | 16c | 300$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed California | 51c | 298.74$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.93 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed SMU Mustangs | 33c | 295.9$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.34 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9413…0fe4backed California | 71c | 280.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.07 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.36per pick | 47cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…89b9backed California | 42c | 267.51$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.16 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d23…b55bbacked California | 71c | 235.36$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.36 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…a8f4backed SMU Mustangs | 15c | 235$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked California | 60c | 222.48$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.96 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9827…e5ffbacked California | 16c | 212$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.08 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed California | 32c | 209.51$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.64 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked SMU Mustangs | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a96…20c6backed California | 80c | 204.89$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…63d6backed SMU Mustangs | 30c | 204.83$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.55 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed California | 17c | 200$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed California | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked California | 18c | 200$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed California | 57c | 165.2$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.58 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b0…28f6backed California | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 68cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…5c00backed California | 18c | 150.17$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.14 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4085…583fbacked California | 67c | 149.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.97 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed California | 18c | 149.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.89 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…86b2backed California | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d04…cfc5backed SMU Mustangs | 75c | 132.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed California | 16c | 120$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed California | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked SMU Mustangs | 21c | 110.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed California | 39c | 110$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.62 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb13…7392backed California | 77c | 104.24$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf03d…b035backed SMU Mustangs | 39c | 102.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…4c76backed SMU Mustangs | 39c | 101.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397d…794fbacked SMU Mustangs | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked California | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed California | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed California | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…5cc8backed SMU Mustangs | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked SMU Mustangs | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc687…e856backed California | 75c | 96.6$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SMU Mustangs vs. Californiathis page
- SMU Mustangs vs. California: O/U 52.5Over won
- SMU Mustangs vs. California: O/U 53.5Over won
- Spread: SMU Mustangs (-10.5)California won
- Spread: SMU Mustangs (-12.5)California won
- Spread: SMU Mustangs (-13.5)California won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.