TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Jazz

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jazzof Pacers, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,143,875
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,399,841

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,143,875 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,596 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3002…7d71backed Jazz52c172,404$89,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83,241.51850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc6c…ddb6backed Pacers48c156,530$75,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75,613.02450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb211…29acbacked Jazz57c155,879$89,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,568.95475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+33.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1602…3674backed Pacers57c117,000$66,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66,689.832466.7%16 W · 8 L+4.8wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+37.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Pacers56c116,240$65,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,094.6451350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8628…6f0bbacked Pacers58c100,000$58,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,0003026.7%8 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-37.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Jazz45c97,204$43,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,778.8120253.5%108 W · 94 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Jazz44c96,981$42,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,484.0936148.5%175 W · 186 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Jazz58c81,517$46,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,526.6919249.5%95 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca5a…7e43backed Pacers19c50,000$9,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,485.282941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Pacers4c42,877$1,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,511.0227917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ae4…a127backed Pacers0c40,032$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.1911041.8%46 W · 64 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Pacers38c39,960$15,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,068.7634645.4%157 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x857c…cb02backed Pacers56c39,791$22,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,282.69933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Jazz44c33,904$14,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,986.0747848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Jazz43c30,000$12,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,099.7438248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Pacers35c25,591$8,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,870.8347144.2%208 W · 263 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pacers53c24,215$12,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,890.825,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17db…5f6dbacked Jazz45c22,222$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,222.222060%12 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Jazz43c22,064$9,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,510.632,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9615…60ddbacked Jazz59c21,000$12,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,569.9914853.4%79 W · 69 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Pacers55c20,000$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,999.9474748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked Pacers55c18,988$10,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,488.5311558.3%67 W · 48 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Pacers56c17,858$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00034062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Jazz43c16,140$6,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,199.85942.4%25 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid0%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc933…5366backed Jazz44c15,500$6,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,6803545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x575a…bba6backed Jazz46c15,368$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,368.0812529.6%37 W · 88 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Pacers16c12,000$1,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,969.9927041.5%112 W · 158 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Jazz42c11,752$4,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,816.372,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Jazz43c11,441$4,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,521.3647751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Jazz44c11,364$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,363.645947.5%28 W · 31 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Pacers52c11,105$5,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,727.721,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Pacers57c10,625$6,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,056.341,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74db…1f4bbacked Pacers58c10,118$5,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,845.15837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-43.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x60cd…a1b6backed Pacers57c9,572$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,500.038251.2%42 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefd7…2c63backed Jazz43c9,393$4,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,354.041353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Pacers55c9,294$5,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,114.9644459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb933…18d5backed Jazz45c9,200$4,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,060728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-50.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x743d…cde3backed Pacers55c9,200$5,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,059.98366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Pacers55c9,109$5,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,001.162,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa046…4f8bbacked Pacers11c8,980$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jazz43c8,829$3,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,022.269,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92a9…c6fbbacked Jazz44c8,525$3,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,780.3988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick60cpaid+59.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Jazz42c8,500$3,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,909.9676850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Pacers29c8,458$2,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,429.9848448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe25…ab19backed Pacers58c7,815$4,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,502.35944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87bb…7269backed Pacers55c7,242$3,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,98310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacb5…bb21backed Jazz45c7,237$3,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,980.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Pacers55c7,122$3,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,917.151,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17e3…2ab5backed Jazz47c7,025$3,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,723.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac06…9507backed Pacers53c7,017$3,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,719.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pacers55c7,000$3,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8501,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14cc…47a1backed Pacers53c6,292$3,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,334.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb80d…f421backed Jazz47c6,285$2,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,331.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdeaf…dbaabacked Jazz32c6,250$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,25037930.6%116 W · 263 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff6f…0141backed Jazz78c6,150$4,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,366.121060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Jazz77c6,139$4,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,412.5129458.5%172 W · 122 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6734…2e18backed Jazz45c5,981$2,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,289.757459.5%44 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Jazz44c5,020$2,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,823.6355346.8%259 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Pacers3c5,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15047535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe89e…bb74backed Jazz42c5,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9001127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Jazz42c5,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,899.9747748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Jazz44c5,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,799.9566250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5be…46cebacked Pacers5c4,883$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.555911.9%7 W · 52 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-40.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf800…f62dbacked Pacers58c4,759$2,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7608347%39 W · 44 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xff36…e757backed Pacers54c4,722$2,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,562.3911547%54 W · 61 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01ee…469cbacked Pacers22c4,527$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.59850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Jazz43c4,108$1,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,331.2444648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Pacers52c4,048$2,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,085.5341652.2%217 W · 199 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Pacers57c4,000$2,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,262.7575347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Pacers28c3,973$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,128.4926038.1%99 W · 161 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Jazz64c3,778$2,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,346.381,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Jazz43c3,776$1,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,135.7126544.9%119 W · 146 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Jazz44c3,509$1,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,966.482,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Pacers57c3,509$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00017250%86 W · 86 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Pacers56c3,333$1,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,851.9310235.3%36 W · 66 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Pacers0c3,143$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.018820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Jazz45c3,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,65043051.4%221 W · 209 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Jazz43c3,000$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,70518047.8%86 W · 94 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa914…d6cdbacked Jazz46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,620250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Pacers1c3,000$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.57502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Pacers53c3,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60046928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Pacers1c2,999$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.991,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3e0…286fbacked Pacers54c2,998$1,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,618.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Pacers4c2,997$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.367911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Pacers57c2,982$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70013063.8%83 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Jazz44c2,930$1,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,638.0695049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Jazz40c2,905$1,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,742.8414156%79 W · 62 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2092…b6d8backed Jazz45c2,667$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+35.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Jazz42c2,600$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,502.8961835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa763…709ebacked Pacers7c2,500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18019845.5%90 W · 108 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90f6…48f3backed Pacers55c2,458$1,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3526256.5%35 W · 27 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Pacers32c2,445$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.562,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Jazz44c2,351$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,308.2947542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfadc…472ebacked Jazz43c2,325$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.252777.8%21 W · 6 L+5.1wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+38.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xab26…99b0backed Jazz47c2,258$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,190.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+111.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked Jazz43c2,061$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,176.9624634.6%85 W · 161 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Jazz37c2,045$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,28350838.2%194 W · 314 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Pacers55c2,013$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.211,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8331…965abacked Jazz42c2,008$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.954755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.