TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Jazz: O/U 232.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,369
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,507

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,369 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4991…5ecdbacked Under48c21,581$10,359 inLost-$10,358.812626.9%7 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-30.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over52c14,742$7,637 inWon+$7,104.769,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Over52c8,500$4,420 inWon+$4,08034645.4%157 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over50c3,817$1,908 inWon+$1,908.42,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x865a…f1ecbacked Under50c2,600$1,300 inLost-$1,3003354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Under42c1,373$575 inLost-$575.322,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over50c1,200$594 inWon+$6062,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8180…208bbacked Under49c1,020$500 inLost-$5009652.1%50 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ce…6f34backed Under50c746$373 inLost-$37313748.9%67 W · 70 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under49c300$147 inLost-$14772647.7%346 W · 380 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f9…dd4fbacked Under50c281$141 inLost-$140.51060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Under50c250$125 inLost-$12595641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under48c213$102 inLost-$102.243,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under48c213$102 inLost-$102.242,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7180…bdbabacked Under49c204.08$100 inLost-$10015657.7%90 W · 66 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6fe…6a33backed Under50c200$100 inLost-$1008045%36 W · 44 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0338…4f11backed Under50c160$80 inLost-$807248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa43…3215backed Under70c144$101 inLost-$100.755050%25 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Under48c143.99$69 inLost-$69.1272450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x110d…cd01backed Under49c102.04$50 inLost-$5034556.2%194 W · 151 L+17.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0b4…9dc2backed Under49c61.22$30 inLost-$3018742.8%80 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51f6…368cbacked Under50c39.98$20 inLost-$19.996046.7%28 W · 32 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5825…af22backed Under50c27.3$14 inLost-$13.654643.5%20 W · 26 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd77c…ee8ebacked Under50c25.8$13 inLost-$12.9988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.31per pick58cpaid+56.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4f73…cebcbacked Under50c20$10 inLost-$101656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.