TailMyPicks
Market

College Football · resolved market

Bowling vs. Eastern Michigan

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Eastern Michiganof Bowling, Eastern Michigan
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$661,366
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$685,153

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $661,366 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xed88…f3c4backed Bowling44c463,083$202,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202,796.9512549.6%62 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ed7…e617backed Eastern Michigan55c105,976$57,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,151.575440.7%22 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Eastern Michigan56c60,000$33,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,4006547.7%31 W · 34 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Eastern Michigan57c43,464$24,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,715.8681847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Eastern Michigan55c30,009$16,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,503.8711846.6%55 W · 63 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Eastern Michigan56c29,587$16,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,994.62,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Eastern Michigan56c26,200$14,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,53275651.9%392 W · 364 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Eastern Michigan56c25,935$14,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,411.225438.9%21 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Eastern Michigan56c20,000$11,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,8007342.5%31 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Eastern Michigan56c20,000$11,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,8007545.3%34 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Eastern Michigan56c18,000$10,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,9206832.4%22 W · 46 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Eastern Michigan55c15,000$8,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,75015745.2%71 W · 86 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329a…8ff2backed Eastern Michigan55c8,895$4,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,002.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37ba…1e51backed Bowling45c8,890$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Eastern Michigan55c8,864$4,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,994.4985947.7%410 W · 449 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb736…7d61backed Bowling45c8,813$3,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,965.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0425…b1dfbacked Eastern Michigan55c8,808$4,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,963.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Eastern Michigan55c6,973$3,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,117.6127648.9%135 W · 141 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Eastern Michigan56c6,690$3,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,943.5438546%177 W · 208 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Eastern Michigan57c6,438$3,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,768.3429249%143 W · 149 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Bowling45c5,703$2,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,588.3962843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Eastern Michigan56c5,014$2,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,189.517443.7%76 W · 98 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Eastern Michigan55c4,600$2,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,062.6420450.5%103 W · 101 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd14a…e912backed Eastern Michigan56c4,000$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7602040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Eastern Michigan58c3,160$1,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,314.7917837.6%67 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Bowling54c3,102$1,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,667.9719842.9%85 W · 113 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Eastern Michigan58c2,590$1,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.2138450.5%194 W · 190 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Bowling44c2,364$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.231,09041.7%455 W · 635 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Eastern Michigan56c2,105$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.2830949.5%153 W · 156 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Eastern Michigan56c2,029$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.038851.1%45 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Eastern Michigan57c2,008$1,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.4428440.8%116 W · 168 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Bowling45c1,800$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.3634529.9%103 W · 242 L-21.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b7b…5608backed Eastern Michigan56c1,778$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.31450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03c9…baccbacked Bowling45c1,778$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-31.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2092…b6d8backed Eastern Michigan57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.39366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+27.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Eastern Michigan57c1,727$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.1514752.4%77 W · 70 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Eastern Michigan56c1,672$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.566842.6%29 W · 39 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Bowling43c1,248$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.950358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8525…f152backed Eastern Michigan56c1,200$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5281338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Bowling6c1,106$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4786243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98a3…d61ebacked Bowling57c1,043$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.4310848.1%52 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Eastern Michigan56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44012450.8%63 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Eastern Michigan56c937$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.2819051.6%98 W · 92 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Eastern Michigan56c892$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.4849253.5%263 W · 229 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed Bowling46c750.11$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.056450%32 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Bowling57c700$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39726750.9%136 W · 131 L+21.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2104…e9e6backed Eastern Michigan56c674.34$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8315…5d07backed Bowling44c671.08$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x184d…87ccbacked Bowling44c642.73$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0893…276ebacked Bowling44c640.1$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5404…b2d7backed Bowling44c625$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bd1…c0cbbacked Eastern Michigan56c618.04$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62d4…2889backed Bowling44c601.58$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x953d…2032backed Bowling44c599.88$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5feb…12bfbacked Bowling44c591.41$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20e5…082abacked Eastern Michigan79c590.8$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.91955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick70cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ed…617ebacked Bowling55c585.67$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.12785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick63cpaid+36.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6dbf…e5e0backed Eastern Michigan56c578.91$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51b1…c227backed Bowling44c565.23$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d3…ef48backed Eastern Michigan56c562.58$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x094e…f10bbacked Eastern Michigan56c556$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.646949.3%34 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ccb…25dfbacked Eastern Michigan56c552.98$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Bowling44c547$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.6834250.3%172 W · 170 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Eastern Michigan60c540.97$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.4455350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x367d…8100backed Eastern Michigan57c529.77$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…bbb5backed Eastern Michigan56c513.29$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3333…ed90backed Eastern Michigan64c511.64$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.44875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b13…1d02backed Eastern Michigan56c500.54$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Bowling45c498.89$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.929341.9%39 W · 54 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fa7…35a8backed Eastern Michigan57c491.61$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39c7…6280backed Eastern Michigan56c483.39$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb530…7876backed Eastern Michigan56c483.03$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b73…59d5backed Eastern Michigan56c478.76$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3b0…4f0fbacked Bowling45c476.98$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e8…9120backed Bowling44c469.45$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce4e…6dc5backed Eastern Michigan57c459.11$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x732b…c911backed Bowling44c458.36$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd09…3995backed Eastern Michigan56c441.8$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a50…1f44backed Eastern Michigan56c425.37$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd368…1889backed Eastern Michigan52c398.94$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.446241.9%26 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9662…72ddbacked Bowling44c383.21$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Bowling47c378.83$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.1720553.7%110 W · 95 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xea37…4283backed Bowling44c373.3$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x177f…956cbacked Bowling44c362$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d03…dfdebacked Bowling44c360.2$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9466…6f7dbacked Eastern Michigan56c360$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74bc…98c9backed Bowling50c344.49$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.0410555.2%58 W · 47 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Eastern Michigan56c340$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.617361.3%106 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x31e3…ecebbacked Bowling44c334$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Eastern Michigan57c323$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.8940244.8%180 W · 222 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd40…73a2backed Bowling33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011221.4%24 W · 88 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95a5…4f7cbacked Bowling13c290$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick35cpaid+67%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3498…1533backed Bowling9c265.37$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick14cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Bowling33c245.35$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1626939.8%107 W · 162 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Eastern Michigan48c208.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.855251.9%27 W · 25 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Bowling44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed Bowling43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8616945.6%77 W · 92 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2dd5…1306backed Bowling43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864531.1%14 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+30.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Eastern Michigan43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1144847.9%23 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Bowling43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8628032.9%92 W · 188 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.