College Football · resolved market
Spread: Eastern Michigan (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x627f67c449fc353e90e034f9807b7e705da7c1c808cec92c2afeb6002eec96a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eastern Michiganof Eastern Michigan, Bowling
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,986
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,986
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,986 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bowling | 48c | 7,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Eastern Michigan | 52c | 6,108$3,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,936.83 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Eastern Michigan | 53c | 2,460$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.41 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b03…f273backed Bowling | 48c | 1,140$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Bowling | 47c | 995.75$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.16 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa157…0674backed Eastern Michigan | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75f9…0c6abacked Bowling | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcd…a630backed Eastern Michigan | 52c | 428$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f81…a78dbacked Eastern Michigan | 52c | 376$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…7071backed Eastern Michigan | 52c | 336$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Bowling | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 148 | 36.5%54 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Bowling | 50c | 189.97$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Bowling | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Bowling | 50c | 58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6526…9c80backed Bowling | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd84…007fbacked Eastern Michigan | 52c | 19.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Eastern Michigan (-2.5)this page
- Bowling vs. Eastern MichiganEastern Michigan won
- Bowling vs. Eastern Michigan: 1H MoneylineBowling won
- O/U 50.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.