TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Bublik

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bublikof Fritz, Bublik
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$627,773
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$667,977

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $627,773 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 281 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7606…2836backed Fritz57c335,087$190,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190,994.517857.7%45 W · 33 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Bublik43c286,393$123,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163,071.8710845.4%49 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Bublik44c30,067$13,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,947.548052.5%42 W · 38 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Bublik46c28,923$13,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,618.6522037.7%83 W · 137 L+1.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Fritz54c27,100$14,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,6341942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+119%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Bublik53c19,873$10,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,278.9816644.6%74 W · 92 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5422…a780backed Fritz36c16,794$6,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,095.813857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Fritz56c15,164$8,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,5005448.1%26 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ce3…3bc3backed Fritz60c12,232$7,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,293.992864.3%18 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Fritz58c10,311$5,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,931.831758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bublik62c9,931$6,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,816.748,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Bublik47c9,500$4,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,034.851,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Bublik44c7,938$3,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,4674930.6%15 W · 34 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-39.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd123…d341backed Fritz54c6,750$3,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,64524841.5%103 W · 145 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Bublik49c6,583$3,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,388.7611,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Bublik48c6,000$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,12066949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Bublik44c5,768$2,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,243.892,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7972…594fbacked Bublik45c5,226$2,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,850.0813260.6%80 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Fritz44c5,000$2,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,21044360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Bublik45c4,594$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,514.265242.8%279 W · 373 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bublik56c4,382$2,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,939.122,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Fritz72c4,147$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00015048%72 W · 78 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x47e0…b63fbacked Fritz26c4,000$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.06650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+21.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Bublik44c3,600$1,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0167147.9%34 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdf7…9189backed Fritz45c3,281$1,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-67.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa97…494fbacked Fritz58c3,200$1,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,85610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Bublik46c3,043$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,643.3417850.6%90 W · 88 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Bublik46c3,000$1,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6309245.7%42 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Bublik45c2,672$1,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,468.0238348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Bublik45c2,550$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,401.9957645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Bublik42c2,375$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,377.4917823%41 W · 137 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bublik44c2,321$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.61,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7355…9443backed Bublik46c2,166$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.312147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3e4…5bf6backed Fritz55c2,029$1,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,105.9520653.4%110 W · 96 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bee…ca01backed Bublik48c1,891$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.2812050%60 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked Bublik44c1,725$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.0525722.2%57 W · 200 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Fritz37c1,710$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.711,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4403…4252backed Fritz32c1,705$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.061241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92f1…9b81backed Fritz47c1,694$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8003336.4%12 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48d…5182backed Bublik56c1,537$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.8424558.8%144 W · 101 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Fritz33c1,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.9928833.3%96 W · 192 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde91…f20abacked Bublik40c1,463$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.56035%21 W · 39 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Bublik43c1,400$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.0144125.4%112 W · 329 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9354…6502backed Bublik46c1,274$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.3975547.8%361 W · 394 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x216a…9380backed Fritz49c1,272$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.862050%10 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb26a…48dabacked Fritz48c1,254$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.51643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50a3…aebabacked Fritz56c1,236$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.16666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2609…3e72backed Bublik53c1,206$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.95757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+30.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Bublik45c1,200$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.9859151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5841…c655backed Bublik44c1,165$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.4683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+40.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d09…60bebacked Fritz56c1,163$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.28633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-36.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Fritz37c1,162$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.726,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Fritz45c1,101$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x43a3…e3a5backed Bublik44c1,079$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick57cpaid+44.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd5a…9042backed Bublik47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.83944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Fritz57c1,053$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001010%1 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.32per pick42cpaid-79.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x56fb…3b99backed Bublik49c1,029$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.528530.6%26 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc80d…dc0fbacked Bublik44c1,022$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.32742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b3…40d4backed Fritz53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-59.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x05a3…14f4backed Fritz42c966.67$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4044557.8%26 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c82…0fb5backed Bublik44c964$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.84728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-34.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e18…6e94backed Bublik44c936$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.16757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Bublik47c921.28$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.2818933.9%64 W · 125 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Fritz47c900$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42381938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb7…082dbacked Bublik44c900$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5048148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x451a…bb7abacked Fritz56c865$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.4650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Fritz59c843.76$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd84a…a882backed Fritz56c823$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.88714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick35cpaid-66.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Bublik45c780$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43022744.5%101 W · 126 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x641f…942bbacked Bublik40c777$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.29257.6%53 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee38…7920backed Fritz55c776.99$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.351546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b00…20e1backed Fritz33c750$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512512%3 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-56.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x09b6…f48dbacked Bublik43c749.94$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.4732050%160 W · 160 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe66e…abddbacked Fritz56c714.29$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004650%23 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02dd…d213backed Fritz58c708.64$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.27560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9285…4d48backed Fritz24c707.74$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.54785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.29per pick56cpaid+40.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3520…f128backed Bublik72c694.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.445362.3%33 W · 20 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+24.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Bublik45c666.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.6740141.9%168 W · 233 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee6b…8486backed Bublik73c619.61$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.951050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Bublik47c608.81$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.321,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Bublik42c600$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3489741.2%40 W · 57 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9769…7cd7backed Fritz53c590.49$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.651233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Fritz35c574.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018659.7%111 W · 75 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Bublik43c566.74$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.0472452.6%381 W · 343 L+34.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3c2…26aabacked Fritz55c527.67$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabbd…f261backed Fritz57c526.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-40.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd90f…7b32backed Fritz45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2253050%15 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9493…7988backed Fritz31c499.99$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.8633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-31.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ed…617ebacked Fritz58c484.65$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2806250%31 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Bublik41c481.94$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.5955143.4%239 W · 312 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Fritz27c476.34$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13017442.5%74 W · 100 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7456…5148backed Fritz46c460.23$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2102429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Bublik45c459$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.4513935.3%49 W · 90 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca21…b07cbacked Bublik69c441.34$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.48988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick71cpaid+23.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefa5…d58bbacked Bublik47c438.3$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.33253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Bublik46c434.9$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.965651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Bublik47c423.17$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.176530.8%20 W · 45 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bb4…acb6backed Fritz54c415$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.17356.2%41 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb0f…559abacked Bublik75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002941.4%12 W · 17 L-6.0wins-0.21per pick62cpaid-38.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Fritz58c400$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23222737.4%85 W · 142 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.