NBA · resolved market

Magic vs. Knicks

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95a77d8cfcdc73774188da694485b3a079dfe61d6618bb32af85464eef4c7dac

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Magicof Magic, Knicks
Resolved: Nov 12, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,480,590
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,531,858

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,480,590 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,020 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0d3b…c46bbacked Magic	38c	744,699$282,986 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$461,713.46	77	45.5%35 W · 42 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3987…259ebacked Magic	39c	402,130$156,076 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246,054.85	80	22.5%18 W · 62 L	-10.0wins	-0.12per pick	35cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Knicks	62c	304,043$189,698 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189,698.44	361	48.5%175 W · 186 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7606…2836backed Knicks	62c	187,083$115,991 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115,991.46	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	+2.4wins	+0.11per pick	55cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Knicks	62c	160,868$99,738 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99,738	203	52.7%107 W · 96 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Magic	39c	153,302$59,788 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93,514.37	154	43.5%67 W · 87 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Knicks	62c	150,017$92,272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92,271.57	513	50.1%257 W · 256 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Knicks	61c	100,000$61,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61,000	596	53.4%318 W · 278 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Knicks	61c	70,000$42,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42,700	246	50%123 W · 123 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ecd…a578backed Knicks	62c	51,000$31,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,699.99	231	35.1%81 W · 150 L	-11.1wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Knicks	61c	50,000$30,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,500	62	53.2%33 W · 29 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b8c…1556backed Knicks	15c	50,000$7,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,500	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+33.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Knicks	62c	46,961$29,330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,330.41	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Knicks	44c	40,000$17,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,500	346	45.4%157 W · 189 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Magic	36c	40,000$14,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,449.95	382	48.7%186 W · 196 L	+13.9wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Magic	36c	39,407$14,186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,220.36	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Magic	38c	33,049$12,514 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,535.15	477	51.8%247 W · 230 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1161…ed62backed Knicks	1c	31,364$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.2	60	58.3%35 W · 25 L	+7.2wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Knicks	61c	31,110$18,977 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,977.1	159	52.2%83 W · 76 L	+9.2wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Magic	38c	30,000$11,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,600	478	48.1%230 W · 248 L	-9.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Magic	60c	25,237$15,153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,083.21	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Knicks	62c	25,215$15,633 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,633.3	698	52%363 W · 335 L	+10.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca5a…7e43backed Knicks	21c	24,288$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Knicks	64c	23,832$15,142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,141.84	446	48%214 W · 232 L	-12.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1602…3674backed Knicks	61c	20,000$12,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,200	24	66.7%16 W · 8 L	+4.8wins	+0.20per pick	47cpaid	+37.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5922…3388backed Knicks	62c	20,000$12,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,400	44	56.8%25 W · 19 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Magic	37c	18,206$6,736 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,469.59	241	51.9%125 W · 116 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Magic	70c	16,040$11,245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,795.35	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Knicks	64c	15,693$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	340	62.1%211 W · 129 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17db…5f6dbacked Knicks	65c	15,499$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x575a…bba6backed Knicks	61c	15,082$9,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,200	125	29.6%37 W · 88 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Magic	71c	14,623$10,312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,311.15	260	38.1%99 W · 161 L	-9.3wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-24%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cd4…8ed6backed Knicks	62c	14,517$9,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,000.68	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8058…d023backed Magic	38c	12,817$4,860 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,957.2	79	46.8%37 W · 42 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Knicks	61c	12,629$7,742 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,742.27	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Magic	38c	11,748$4,444 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,304.63	724	50.7%367 W · 357 L	+13.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Knicks	61c	11,302$6,945 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,944.62	784	45.8%359 W · 425 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Magic	37c	10,680$3,952 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,727.63	553	46.8%259 W · 294 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Knicks	1c	10,050$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.35	645	17.1%110 W · 535 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Magic	50c	10,019$5,017 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,001.98	123	34.1%42 W · 81 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Knicks	1c	10,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Knicks	33c	9,908$3,268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,267.52	80	36.3%29 W · 51 L	-8.1wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Magic	36c	9,597$3,455 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,142.13	143	58.7%84 W · 59 L	+12.9wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Magic	40c	8,942$3,573 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,369.54	1,212	48.3%586 W · 626 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Knicks	51c	8,793$4,443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,442.75	192	49.5%95 W · 97 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x531c…eb0dbacked Knicks	12c	8,648$1,005 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,004.5	78	43.6%34 W · 44 L	+3.9wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Knicks	18c	8,392$1,496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,495.66	857	42.6%365 W · 492 L	-15.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdeaf…dbaabacked Knicks	30c	8,000$2,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,400	379	30.6%116 W · 263 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Knicks	11c	7,832$830 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$829.89	96	40.6%39 W · 57 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa0bd…efddbacked Knicks	33c	7,290$2,438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,437.96	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	64cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Magic	37c	7,134$2,614 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,520.16	2,265	43.4%982 W · 1,283 L	-26.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Knicks	62c	6,316$3,908 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,907.98	444	59.7%265 W · 179 L	+12.4wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Knicks	62c	6,227$3,861 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,860.74	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6775…17efbacked Knicks	66c	6,091$3,997 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,997.35	26	50%13 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked Knicks	27c	6,047$1,620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,620	108	52.8%57 W · 51 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Magic	38c	5,968$2,258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,710.04	463	42.5%197 W · 266 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x188c…c62bbacked Knicks	62c	5,642$3,498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,498	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x19fd…5838backed Magic	37c	5,555$2,071 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,483.65	59	25.4%15 W · 44 L	-4.4wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Knicks	61c	5,500$3,355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,355	477	48.8%233 W · 244 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Knicks	1c	5,355$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.75	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4b1…a75ebacked Magic	39c	5,130$2,001 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,129.33	64	35.9%23 W · 41 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x400f…e712backed Magic	42c	4,817$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,817.46	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed Knicks	9c	4,780$428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$428.21	171	41.5%71 W · 100 L	-6.1wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Magic	56c	4,318$2,414 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,903.73	1,316	50.5%664 W · 652 L	+42.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Knicks	1c	4,268$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.37	878	3%26 W · 852 L	-22.3wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-62%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Magic	38c	4,203$1,604 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,598.83	950	49.4%469 W · 481 L	+10.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Knicks	20c	4,133$825 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$824.97	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Knicks	1c	4,100$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	1,277	2.3%29 W · 1,248 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-84%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Knicks	62c	4,032$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	172	50%86 W · 86 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Knicks	62c	4,000$2,485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,485	313	47%147 W · 166 L	-14.8wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8198…e96ebacked Knicks	37c	4,000$1,480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,480	164	46.3%76 W · 88 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3d…5d4cbacked Knicks	54c	4,000$2,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,160	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.19per pick	44cpaid	-57.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe300…8a97backed Magic	38c	4,000$1,520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,479.97	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Knicks	65c	3,900$2,544 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,544	517	53.8%278 W · 239 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Knicks	41c	3,782$1,565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,564.91	1,226	37.4%458 W · 768 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Magic	35c	3,600$1,263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,336.98	618	35.4%219 W · 399 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Knicks	62c	3,500$2,170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,170	180	47.8%86 W · 94 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01ee…469cbacked Knicks	51c	3,500$1,790 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,790	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked Magic	37c	3,465$1,282 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,182.69	113	54%61 W · 52 L	+7.5wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Magic	37c	3,335$1,241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,093.91	1,164	49.6%577 W · 587 L	+7.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Knicks	63c	3,333$2,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,099.79	768	50.3%386 W · 382 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Knicks	27c	3,194$870 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$870.01	1,409	40.2%567 W · 842 L	-40.5wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Knicks	3c	3,065$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.75	679	11%75 W · 604 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-11%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Magic	38c	3,063$1,164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,898.91	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	-3.8wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-19%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Knicks	61c	3,000$1,830 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,830	430	51.4%221 W · 209 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks	26c	2,986$776 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$775.65	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Knicks	11c	2,954$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328.01	487	39.8%194 W · 293 L	-21.1wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b89…0d9cbacked Knicks	48c	2,936$1,421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,420.63	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-2.2wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc210…f0cabacked Knicks	64c	2,906$1,860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,860	61	55.7%34 W · 27 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe411…04c5backed Knicks	13c	2,831$368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367.98	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b67…a36ebacked Magic	37c	2,830$1,047 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,782.9	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+2.1wins	+0.31per pick	41cpaid	+81.7%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd735…968ebacked Knicks	18c	2,778$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+4.2wins	+0.16per pick	44cpaid	+45.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x56fb…3b99backed Magic	37c	2,700$999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,701	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x540c…a634backed Magic	37c	2,695$997 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,697.59	94	45.7%43 W · 51 L	-5.5wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa80e…9fd6backed Knicks	9c	2,629$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229	102	23.5%24 W · 78 L	-5.8wins	-0.06per pick	29cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ffa…0788backed Magic	39c	2,564$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,564.1	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Knicks	62c	2,515$1,551 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,550.58	1,048	41.1%431 W · 617 L	+23.6wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b6a…79fdbacked Magic	40c	2,500$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,500	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.60per pick	40cpaid	+150%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x85a6…4c79backed Knicks	60c	2,500$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,499.97	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.60per pick	60cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bc7…e411backed Magic	37c	2,500$925 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,574.94	98	55.1%54 W · 44 L	+5.3wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Magic vs. Knicks

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event