NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Knicks: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5569f100fa41912ac700e5df2149da9ca4392c0d2960e8935926754af993cd3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,702
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,829
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,702 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 2,011$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.91 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Over | 53c | 943.43$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.43 | 271 | 58.3%158 W · 113 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Under | 47c | 941.52$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.52 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…ed47backed Over | 51c | 725.49$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.49 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa29d…fbc0backed Over | 50c | 201$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69dc…336dbacked Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f99…2fd1backed Under | 50c | 190$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 249 | 55.8%139 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dd…b094backed Over | 52c | 145$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Over | 53c | 128.3$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.3 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 47c | 114.25$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1321…2286backed Under | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc89…4ca1backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ff…5e00backed Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e9…8f51backed Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa796…dddebacked Over | 53c | 69.81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9f…4cc8backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 46c | 43.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0b…1466backed Over | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca2…f018backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf597…f4aebacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Knicks: O/U 226.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Magic won
- Magic vs. KnicksMagic won
- Magic vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Magic vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Magic vs. Knicks: O/U 227.5Over won
- Magic vs. Knicks: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Magic won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.