NHL · resolved market
Rangers vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ebf7a41cb7acd83d41e7a1646c3f8711bd56f442027bb77a25d4e6c97f9b123
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rangersof Rangers, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $772,758
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $791,415
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $772,758 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 415 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked Rangers | 43c | 253,258$108,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144,469.86 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Lightning | 57c | 177,578$101,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101,219.3 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Rangers | 48c | 94,714$45,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,230.62 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf90e…0b56backed Rangers | 43c | 89,680$38,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,822.22 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Lightning | 57c | 88,159$50,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,062.6 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Lightning | 54c | 36,642$19,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,735.21 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Rangers | 44c | 30,000$13,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,800 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Lightning | 56c | 25,996$14,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,557.7 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Rangers | 46c | 19,609$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,609.13 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Lightning | 35c | 15,634$5,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,481.77 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Lightning | 54c | 15,555$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,399.64 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lightning | 57c | 14,338$8,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,244.2 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Lightning | 55c | 14,265$7,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,845.76 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Lightning | 56c | 11,429$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,400.24 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Lightning | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Lightning | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Lightning | 5c | 9,225$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.54 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Rangers | 41c | 8,995$3,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,307.05 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Lightning | 55c | 8,744$4,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,809.2 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -11.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Lightning | 54c | 8,007$4,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,356.33 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…b006backed Rangers | 43c | 7,964$3,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,539.58 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Rangers | 45c | 7,149$3,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,931.88 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Lightning | 58c | 6,842$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lightning | 30c | 6,283$1,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.83 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Lightning | 57c | 6,002$3,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,423.98 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Lightning | 56c | 5,500$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,080 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Rangers | 46c | 5,140$2,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,776.05 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Lightning | 58c | 4,631$2,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,685.86 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Lightning | 57c | 4,444$2,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,555.3 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Lightning | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Lightning | 56c | 3,945$2,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,190.37 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rangers | 65c | 3,876$2,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.71 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Rangers | 70c | 3,792$2,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.51 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Rangers | 41c | 3,600$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,124 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Lightning | 54c | 3,500$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd8…eb7bbacked Rangers | 44c | 3,400$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,903.98 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed Lightning | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Lightning | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.99 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf208…314ebacked Lightning | 57c | 2,888$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,646.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lightning | 56c | 2,823$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.14 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Lightning | 55c | 2,822$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.1 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Lightning | 56c | 2,777$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.75 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Lightning | 57c | 2,711$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.35 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Lightning | 1c | 2,656$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c27…9f49backed Rangers | 45c | 2,628$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Lightning | 55c | 2,515$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.3 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ec…6933backed Lightning | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Lightning | 54c | 2,326$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.81 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…34dbbacked Lightning | 57c | 2,318$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.05 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -7.8wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Rangers | 48c | 2,286$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.05 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lightning | 41c | 2,261$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.17 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Lightning | 55c | 2,251$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.63 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a23…fd22backed Lightning | 57c | 2,112$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.84 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…4375backed Lightning | 56c | 2,000$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Rangers | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x24b1…5163backed Lightning | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Lightning | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c6…cf2abacked Lightning | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Rangers | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcb…5731backed Rangers | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +5.8wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…ce9fbacked Lightning | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Lightning | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf1…3c6bbacked Rangers | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0255…f78ebacked Rangers | 46c | 1,893$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e26…abf5backed Lightning | 56c | 1,893$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Lightning | 55c | 1,819$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…a8b4backed Lightning | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3445…7488backed Lightning | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffa…0788backed Lightning | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Lightning | 23c | 1,782$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.07 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +9.3wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Lightning | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Lightning | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lightning | 56c | 1,687$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.14 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x043d…2807backed Rangers | 43c | 1,600$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Lightning | 33c | 1,532$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.92 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Lightning | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.99 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…39c0backed Rangers | 43c | 1,400$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Lightning | 56c | 1,381$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.93 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Lightning | 55c | 1,291$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Rangers | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lightning | 12c | 1,145$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.05 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Rangers | 73c | 1,139$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.13 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…91acbacked Lightning | 57c | 1,136$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.25 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Lightning | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Lightning | 28c | 1,082$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.72 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Rangers | 45c | 1,078$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.74 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Lightning | 57c | 1,070$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.8 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Rangers | 44c | 1,066$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.49 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee0…5233backed Lightning | 59c | 1,056$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Lightning | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Lightning | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Lightning | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2f…36f2backed Rangers | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fd…dbc5backed Lightning | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Lightning | 54c | 999.98$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Rangers | 40c | 998$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.8 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Rangers | 42c | 950$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Rangers | 69c | 909.71$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.13 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Lightning | 55c | 903.64$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Lightning | 57c | 878.16$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.55 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rangers vs. Lightningthis page
- Rangers vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5Over won
- Rangers vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.