NBA · resolved market
Spread: Raptors (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d2dfe9351b35b9a63af0cacd4923013ec2d039ab52194729364cea4734179aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Raptors, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,992,314
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,000,902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,992,314 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82a1…e03abacked Hornets | 52c | 1,155,824$600,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555,823.54 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Raptors | 48c | 466,467$223,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223,903.97 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Raptors | 49c | 407,960$199,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199,087.07 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Hornets | 52c | 401,820$209,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192,315.78 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Raptors | 48c | 200,000$96,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,000 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Hornets | 54c | 155,145$83,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,393.83 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Raptors | 48c | 150,000$72,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,000 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Raptors | 47c | 100,741$47,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,370.5 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Raptors | 46c | 99,864$45,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,937.46 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Raptors | 48c | 60,000$29,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,000 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Raptors | 46c | 57,984$26,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,451.5 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x060e…2384backed Hornets | 49c | 50,000$24,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,499.99 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9498backed Raptors | 50c | 44,936$22,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,650.71 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Raptors | 49c | 44,402$21,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,716.89 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Raptors | 46c | 43,000$19,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,780 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Raptors | 47c | 40,000$18,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,800 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Hornets | 54c | 23,192$12,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,775.72 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Raptors | 60c | 20,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000.01 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Raptors | 48c | 18,706$8,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,979 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Raptors | 48c | 15,555$7,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,466.4 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raptors | 48c | 15,545$7,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,495.99 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca1…dd13backed Raptors | 52c | 14,090$7,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,291.18 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Raptors | 46c | 13,065$6,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,009.9 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Raptors | 49c | 12,000$5,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,880 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Raptors | 48c | 11,249$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.71 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Raptors | 47c | 10,046$4,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,721.3 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcd…50f1backed Raptors | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98b5…b6bebacked Raptors | 51c | 9,941$5,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,070 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Raptors | 47c | 8,000$3,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,768.09 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5664…4843backed Raptors | 51c | 6,275$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Hornets | 44c | 6,040$2,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,381.57 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Raptors | 47c | 5,075$2,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,375.95 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Raptors | 56c | 3,720$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Raptors | 48c | 3,646$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,734.02 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Hornets | 53c | 3,499$1,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.52 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Raptors | 56c | 3,024$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Raptors | 51c | 2,912$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.14 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…c55ebacked Hornets | 49c | 2,869$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.39 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Raptors | 56c | 2,843$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.13 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Raptors | 46c | 2,694$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.18 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hornets | 48c | 2,580$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.37 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Raptors | 49c | 2,570$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.24 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Raptors | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 173 | 56.6%98 W · 75 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1912…686cbacked Raptors | 55c | 1,900$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd29c…d4efbacked Hornets | 45c | 1,900$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8640…93a3backed Raptors | 56c | 1,900$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c51…60bcbacked Hornets | 44c | 1,900$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c85…f893backed Raptors | 55c | 1,900$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc29a…8776backed Hornets | 45c | 1,900$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80a8backed Raptors | 56c | 1,900$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e5…eec3backed Hornets | 44c | 1,900$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4862…1a17backed Raptors | 48c | 1,847$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.73 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Raptors | 54c | 1,350$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Raptors | 66c | 1,250$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.84 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Raptors | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors | 48c | 1,113$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.28 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Raptors | 50c | 1,094$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.41 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Raptors | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Raptors | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe13e…c564backed Raptors | 47c | 999$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.53 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Raptors | 49c | 782.31$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.33 | 256 | 42.6%109 W · 147 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Hornets | 27c | 697.09$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.1 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Raptors | 59c | 677.05$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Raptors | 49c | 604.08$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Hornets | 23c | 510$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.2 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4741backed Raptors | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd509…b06abacked Hornets | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdab0…2fe9backed Raptors | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Hornets | 46c | 414.9$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.75 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f7…b542backed Raptors | 49c | 387.76$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Hornets | 46c | 363.73$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.15 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5d…4c40backed Raptors | 49c | 302.55$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.1 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Raptors | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ce…1817backed Raptors | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Raptors | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 304 | 54.9%167 W · 137 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Raptors | 55c | 261.82$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 385 | 45.7%176 W · 209 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…768ebacked Raptors | 52c | 246.15$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Raptors | 46c | 222$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.12 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Raptors | 55c | 220$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked Raptors | 78c | 220$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.6 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2f38backed Raptors | 47c | 218.76$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.82 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Raptors | 48c | 211.85$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.69 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ba…5435backed Raptors | 47c | 210$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Hornets | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Raptors | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 274 | 35.4%97 W · 177 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Hornets | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…0831backed Raptors | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 185 | 58.4%108 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…9cf9backed Raptors | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Hornets | 48c | 178$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.3 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Raptors | 45c | 177.29$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.78 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…f3a0backed Raptors | 53c | 162.08$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.48 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Raptors | 54c | 157.98$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.31 | 403 | 46.2%186 W · 217 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Raptors | 49c | 157$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.33 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Raptors | 51c | 155$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.77 | 183 | 57.4%105 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Raptors | 51c | 143.14$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1375…4c69backed Hornets | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed Raptors | 47c | 115.64$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6100…46aebacked Raptors | 70c | 114.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.48 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…5a6ebacked Hornets | 48c | 114.47$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.47 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Raptors | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Raptors (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Raptors (-4.5)Raptors won
- Raptors vs. HornetsHornets won
- Raptors vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Hornets: O/U 226.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5Under won
- Spread: Raptors (-8.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Raptors (-9.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.