NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Hornets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cd4fbf02d283ce50304885a22fb11e916c62a185c32ec7683b896345f3908b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Raptors, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,790,089
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,844,812
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,790,089 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 677 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Raptors | 78c | 97,057$76,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,027.51 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf963…0637backed Hornets | 25c | 79,142$19,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,693.03 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9028backed Hornets | 25c | 60,145$15,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,995.54 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Hornets | 27c | 48,986$13,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,883.45 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Hornets | 26c | 48,837$12,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,139.39 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Hornets | 26c | 30,400$7,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,495.98 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Raptors | 74c | 30,000$22,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,200 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Hornets | 25c | 30,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,499.84 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Hornets | 25c | 28,914$7,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,815.5 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked Raptors | 1c | 27,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -8.5wins | -0.25per pick | 37cpaid | -62%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Hornets | 24c | 25,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,000 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hornets | 41c | 24,809$10,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,611.02 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Hornets | 24c | 22,197$5,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,787.64 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…c088backed Raptors | 75c | 20,681$15,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,510.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Raptors | 75c | 20,400$15,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,300 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…57b3backed Hornets | 22c | 20,013$4,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,514.36 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Hornets | 26c | 20,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,800 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4297…ea39backed Hornets | 25c | 20,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,000 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4a…87d4backed Raptors | 74c | 20,000$14,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,800 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Raptors | 45c | 18,822$8,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,390.02 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Hornets | 23c | 17,988$4,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,860.67 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Hornets | 10c | 17,360$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,602.38 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…ded1backed Hornets | 19c | 17,327$3,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,109 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaa…8420backed Hornets | 21c | 16,719$3,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,252.44 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets | 14c | 13,166$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,305.61 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Hornets | 27c | 12,391$3,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,045.45 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Hornets | 24c | 9,978$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,548.19 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42cb…8412backed Raptors | 74c | 9,679$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200.07 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Hornets | 26c | 9,423$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,973.08 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Hornets | 14c | 9,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,770 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x390a…1328backed Hornets | 11c | 9,000$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,009.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Raptors | 75c | 8,888$6,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,632.67 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Hornets | 26c | 8,808$2,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,518.27 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Raptors | 75c | 8,748$6,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,560.78 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be6…2006backed Raptors | 74c | 8,108$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Raptors | 80c | 8,000$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,400 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef72…5295backed Hornets | 20c | 7,813$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,237.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Hornets | 15c | 7,785$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,616.97 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Raptors | 64c | 7,540$4,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,812.93 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Raptors | 74c | 7,383$5,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,445.27 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hornets | 14c | 6,838$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,872 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab9…5b82backed Raptors | 12c | 6,791$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.19 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb84…08a9backed Hornets | 60c | 6,707$4,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,657.48 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -9.3wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8867…4bb7backed Raptors | 76c | 6,700$5,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,091.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Raptors | 75c | 6,568$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Hornets | 24c | 6,357$1,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,842.83 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Hornets | 37c | 6,080$2,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,826.92 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Hornets | 25c | 5,843$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,393.53 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Raptors | 75c | 5,750$4,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,327.5 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Raptors | 1c | 5,555$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Raptors | 76c | 5,293$4,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,041.4 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Raptors | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Raptors | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Hornets | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,999.98 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef4…32a1backed Hornets | 24c | 5,000$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,824.97 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Raptors | 73c | 4,691$3,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,445.04 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Raptors | 75c | 4,555$3,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,416.25 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hornets | 24c | 4,150$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,154 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…c851backed Raptors | 68c | 4,063$2,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,756.92 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Raptors | 76c | 4,026$3,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,043.19 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Raptors | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf607…6f46backed Raptors | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Hornets | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.99 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Hornets | 12c | 4,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,519.99 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Hornets | 34c | 3,946$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,621.19 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a976backed Raptors | 75c | 3,817$2,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,872.11 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Raptors | 79c | 3,691$2,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,907.8 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…a8ebbacked Raptors | 76c | 3,615$2,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,738.39 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Raptors | 52c | 3,433$1,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,789.44 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Hornets | 25c | 3,276$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,463.09 | 481 | 32.6%157 W · 324 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7efe…1c2ebacked Raptors | 75c | 3,012$2,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,259 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hornets | 25c | 3,000$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250.5 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc47f…94b4backed Hornets | 20c | 2,999$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.49 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Hornets | 25c | 2,976$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,238.2 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Raptors | 25c | 2,889$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.08 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Raptors | 75c | 2,668$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.77 | 478 | 56.5%270 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Hornets | 18c | 2,592$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,132.44 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Hornets | 14c | 2,557$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200.83 | 487 | 39.8%194 W · 293 L | -21.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Raptors | 79c | 2,526$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.56 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hornets | 25c | 2,473$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.98 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7a…d80abacked Hornets | 22c | 2,273$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.73 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +44%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9f…ff39backed Hornets | 24c | 2,188$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.17 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Raptors | 61c | 2,131$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.52 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd781…92a0backed Hornets | 29c | 2,079$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.99 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -7.6wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…6fe9backed Raptors | 6c | 2,002$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Raptors | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8111…38f0backed Hornets | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.99 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked Hornets | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.98 | 182 | 39%71 W · 111 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…3b5dbacked Hornets | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.96 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Hornets | 23c | 1,898$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.29 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40a9…cb8bbacked Hornets | 25c | 1,800$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.28per pick | 34cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Hornets | 24c | 1,780$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.78 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Hornets | 23c | 1,739$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.13 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Hornets | 25c | 1,564$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.62 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Raptors | 78c | 1,517$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183 | 369 | 43.4%160 W · 209 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Hornets | 22c | 1,502$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.78 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Raptors | 77c | 1,500$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Raptors | 73c | 1,500$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095 | 194 | 41.2%80 W · 114 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Raptors | 74c | 1,456$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.35 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Hornets | 22c | 1,407$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.02 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Hornetsthis page
- 1H Spread: Raptors (-4.5)Raptors won
- Raptors vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Hornets: O/U 226.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5Under won
- Spread: Raptors (-7.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Raptors (-8.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Raptors (-9.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.