TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Wizards

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof 76ers, Wizards
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,788,866
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,800,362

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,788,866 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,088 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83b9…6124backed 76ers64c397,669$254,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143,550.5336148.5%175 W · 186 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5afb…4511backed Wizards36c367,220$133,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133,915.795540%22 W · 33 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed 76ers63c340,000$215,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124,899.9920253.5%108 W · 94 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8628…6f0bbacked Wizards37c289,751$106,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106,405.353026.7%8 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-37.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Wizards36c217,657$77,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77,394.472,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked 76ers50c152,422$76,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75,764.8385742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ed7…e617backed 76ers64c137,456$87,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,484.167255.6%40 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Wizards36c111,942$40,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,299.031,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed 76ers64c110,383$70,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,551.965942.4%25 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid0%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Wizards0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5b7…5ee3backed Wizards36c95,000$34,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,399.9811333.6%38 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Wizards43c81,806$34,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,906.7347448.7%231 W · 243 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Wizards35c60,000$21,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,999.9938248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked 76ers63c59,374$37,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,818.251844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7008…c666backed 76ers71c58,155$41,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,860.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed 76ers65c52,942$34,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,529.5419249.5%95 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Wizards31c50,890$15,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,672.631,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x61f7…f63dbacked Wizards36c50,000$18,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,000850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x220c…43c8backed 76ers64c50,000$32,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,0007149.3%35 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed 76ers28c40,799$11,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,394.2147144.2%208 W · 263 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed 76ers63c40,000$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,0004050%20 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Wizards36c32,426$11,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,630.561,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda47…f40abacked 76ers64c30,000$19,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,8002462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.7wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Wizards43c27,668$11,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,761.8926038.1%99 W · 161 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Wizards37c27,210$9,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,977.135235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed 76ers65c26,926$17,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,424.265433.3%18 W · 36 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-35.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed 76ers65c23,077$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,076.9216251.9%84 W · 78 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Wizards67c22,469$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,00034062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe42e…8d89backed 76ers64c21,052$13,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,573.695149%25 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Wizards36c20,372$7,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,33410930.3%33 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Wizards36c20,000$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,20066853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac0d…b006backed 76ers63c17,701$11,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,549.541861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+24.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Wizards0c17,244$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4864517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Wizards37c16,937$6,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,252.3671052.1%370 W · 340 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc210…f0cabacked 76ers65c16,481$10,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,800.626155.7%34 W · 27 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d85…228ebacked Wizards37c16,269$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0007142.3%30 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards51c14,756$7,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,573.63,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed 76ers66c14,599$9,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,991.314856.1%83 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20b9…9110backed 76ers61c11,995$7,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,728.1313950.4%70 W · 69 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid+9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed 76ers20c11,837$2,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,423.71,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked 76ers65c11,175$7,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,921.122,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc10…3f05backed 76ers62c10,266$6,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,901.19650%48 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Wizards35c10,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,499.9974748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked 76ers29c9,903$2,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,021.0981529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Wizards35c9,650$3,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,331.1212160.3%73 W · 48 L+10.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x075f…f783backed Wizards78c9,622$7,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,551.25862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick72cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a76…9aa9backed 76ers65c9,103$5,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,228.461163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Wizards46c8,727$4,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,014.5952460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked 76ers66c7,536$4,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,572.5816844%74 W · 94 L-11.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wizards36c7,210$2,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,595.472,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wizards68c7,195$4,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,893.68,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb26a…48dabacked 76ers29c6,830$1,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,873.492744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f89…d508backed 76ers63c5,762$3,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,131.92142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked 76ers33c5,632$1,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,769.9129458.5%172 W · 122 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc93…8afbbacked 76ers33c5,567$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,717.221471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.6wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+81.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Wizards36c5,564$1,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,997.524553.3%24 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Wizards1c5,541$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.418783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8768…dd9bbacked 76ers65c5,000$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7503100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8198…e96ebacked 76ers46c5,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,72016446.3%76 W · 88 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x349e…1654backed Wizards0c4,930$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3310431.7%33 W · 71 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed 76ers50c4,833$2,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,412.633,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Wizards46c4,743$2,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,172.9246342.5%197 W · 266 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Wizards37c4,600$1,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7028543.5%37 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a3…8a3dbacked Wizards37c4,285$1,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,571.431838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Wizards36c4,061$1,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,461.8437557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed 76ers12c3,678$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,235.7622243.7%97 W · 125 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Wizards0c3,600$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.71,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Wizards36c3,600$1,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,29645348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4e…c452backed 76ers65c3,569$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,249.193100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+91.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x501c…080bbacked Wizards36c3,475$1,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,250.91425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-66.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x883e…31dfbacked 76ers65c3,446$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.184910.2%5 W · 44 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x341e…9b67backed 76ers28c3,431$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,457.7955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+45.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Wizards51c3,419$1,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,743.872,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe766…404dbacked Wizards36c3,297$1,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,186.926746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf967…8cd4backed 76ers32c3,284$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,232.949042.2%38 W · 52 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Wizards35c3,278$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,147.3819351.3%99 W · 94 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8058…d023backed 76ers54c3,234$1,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,489.347946.8%37 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Wizards36c3,146$1,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,136.551,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Wizards35c3,039$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.319,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed 76ers55c3,000$1,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,35747748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d2…86fdbacked Wizards37c3,000$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1101258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Wizards35c2,997$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.9617658%102 W · 74 L+13.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed 76ers65c2,880$1,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.114156%79 W · 62 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0a0…dab5backed 76ers64c2,732$1,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.1862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Wizards35c2,659$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.5241848.3%202 W · 216 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Wizards1c2,643$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.631,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dd6…19e8backed 76ers64c2,631$1,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.012937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Wizards47c2,609$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,223.9320034%68 W · 132 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+28.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Wizards46c2,588$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.191,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd708…e26cbacked Wizards37c2,501$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.531346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Wizards39c2,500$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.2685344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa576…89a4backed Wizards37c2,500$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9252748.1%13 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa710…4173backed Wizards37c2,500$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.994035%14 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Wizards49c2,394$1,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,173.0643051.4%221 W · 209 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe458…3436backed 76ers63c2,381$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.951546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked 76ers17c2,360$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,960.2727041.5%112 W · 158 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95f6…0b51backed Wizards38c2,340$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18e7…ed30backed 76ers63c2,306$1,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.351457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x671a…4541backed 76ers65c2,282$1,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.542035%7 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-37.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked 76ers64c2,267$1,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.1269852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.