NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb641f17a573bf8be3bbd01c84185d9c80a38041dcc7a359e028033f990c94ff7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,574
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,574 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Over | 56c | 4,142$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,822.48 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 44c | 2,458$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.48 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 51c | 811$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.61 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Under | 35c | 810$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.56 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 49c | 306$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.06 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over | 57c | 288$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.84 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 43c | 288$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.84 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f62…ac75backed Over | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Under | 43c | 279$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.97 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 48c | 239.14$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.85 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…7777backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x231e…d081backed Under | 50c | 96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Under | 45c | 78.73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Over | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…ad73backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c1…012cbacked Over | 54c | 56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…5286backed Under | 48c | 54.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef68…9cdfbacked Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Under | 49c | 51.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dff…bc36backed Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6db…fc65backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 482 | 55%265 W · 217 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5this page
- 76ers vs. Wizards76ers won
- 76ers vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineWizards won
- 76ers vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Wizards: O/U 238.5Over won
- Spread: 76ers (-3.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-4.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-5.5)Wizards won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.