NBA · resolved market
Spread: 76ers (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1767cf4d88b421a9e05ad4880c18df403dfca458d1bc54fb4636e5f1b6c2c7ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 76ersof 76ers, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $173,146
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $186,625
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,146 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a3b…10eebacked Wizards | 52c | 81,794$42,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,532.88 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5c…307fbacked Wizards | 1c | 23,500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Wizards | 50c | 20,747$10,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,282.67 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed 76ers | 50c | 12,151$6,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,022.08 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Wizards | 49c | 10,134$4,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,965.73 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed 76ers | 52c | 9,262$4,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,468.05 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked 76ers | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Wizards | 49c | 3,601$1,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,771.88 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9af…6371backed 76ers | 49c | 3,358$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.61 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed 76ers | 2c | 2,283$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,241.7 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +418.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed 76ers | 7c | 2,119$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968.04 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked 76ers | 50c | 2,024$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.19 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed 76ers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2830…69e4backed Wizards | 1c | 1,700$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Wizards | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe127…546cbacked 76ers | 51c | 1,569$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…a857backed Wizards | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0c…6825backed 76ers | 49c | 1,030$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.3 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Wizards | 51c | 1,022$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked 76ers | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0495…c68fbacked Wizards | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed 76ers | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Wizards | 47c | 684$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.48 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…9cf9backed Wizards | 50c | 450$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…a84abacked 76ers | 51c | 431.37$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.37 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed 76ers | 51c | 399.99$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b3…f97cbacked 76ers | 55c | 340$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed 76ers | 51c | 322.23$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Wizards | 50c | 320$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Wizards | 47c | 261.22$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.97 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fba…2053backed Wizards | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked 76ers | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed 76ers | 40c | 242.5$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6364…09a8backed 76ers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed 76ers | 8c | 200$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…abddbacked 76ers | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3802…caddbacked 76ers | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf28…9144backed Wizards | 52c | 180$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.24per pick | 50cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Wizards | 47c | 156$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.32 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd57…a167backed 76ers | 54c | 153.7$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.7 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Wizards | 46c | 143.7$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.1 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b15…a031backed 76ers | 55c | 127.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.32 | 126 | 57.9%73 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb991…2462backed 76ers | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…7942backed 76ers | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1544…6f27backed 76ers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +52%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb376…f6a0backed 76ers | 49c | 97.84$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.9 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Wizards | 47c | 88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed 76ers | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 309 | 45.3%140 W · 169 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1806…a29bbacked Wizards | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed 76ers | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b9…d1d9backed 76ers | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3905…c574backed 76ers | 55c | 50.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb6…a2fcbacked 76ers | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 164 | 29.9%49 W · 115 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed 76ers | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed 76ers | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…e601backed Wizards | 51c | 39.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd586…87cfbacked 76ers | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…3183backed 76ers | 49c | 31.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…a5e6backed 76ers | 79c | 28.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked 76ers | 49c | 23.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9c…2c3abacked 76ers | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: 76ers (-4.5)this page
- 76ers vs. Wizards76ers won
- 76ers vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineWizards won
- 76ers vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Wizards: O/U 238.5Over won
- Spread: 76ers (-3.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-5.5)Wizards won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.