College Football · resolved market
Duke vs. Clemson
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fdbf90e8a974f37fe13b24730e68bc07837cc468ea19b4b33d216f85f67a89b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dukeof Duke, Clemson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,203,319
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,614,834
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,203,319 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 259 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8dbf…53bebacked Duke | 40c | 376,162$149,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226,459.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Clemson | 61c | 111,442$67,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,655.12 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Clemson | 60c | 72,776$43,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,977.81 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Clemson | 63c | 28,617$17,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,919.84 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Clemson | 61c | 25,000$15,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,250 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clemson | 60c | 21,394$12,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,879.2 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Duke | 40c | 17,632$7,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,592.4 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Clemson | 48c | 17,330$8,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,401.4 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Clemson | 60c | 16,026$9,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,659.2 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Clemson | 58c | 15,600$9,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,019.21 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Clemson | 61c | 15,000$9,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,149.98 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Duke | 45c | 14,610$6,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,024.07 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Duke | 39c | 10,209$3,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,227.49 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Clemson | 60c | 10,086$6,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,096.86 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Clemson | 61c | 8,088$4,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,959.72 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Clemson | 46c | 6,260$2,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,888.43 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Duke | 38c | 5,317$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,298.8 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7486…1f27backed Clemson | 1c | 5,077$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Clemson | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Clemson | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x293d…35e2backed Clemson | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…a16bbacked Duke | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,049.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3461…4629backed Clemson | 79c | 4,316$3,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,404.36 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 50cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Clemson | 59c | 4,271$2,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,528.6 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Duke | 32c | 4,256$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,901.86 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Clemson | 60c | 4,100$2,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,463.75 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Duke | 30c | 4,000$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,810 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Clemson | 60c | 3,693$2,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,234 | 213 | 48.8%104 W · 109 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Duke | 46c | 3,672$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.45 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…af7ebacked Duke | 40c | 3,125$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.99 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Duke | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Duke | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.98 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa01d…a645backed Duke | 47c | 2,162$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Clemson | 58c | 2,016$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.61 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Clemson | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Clemson | 65c | 1,884$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -6.7wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Duke | 39c | 1,835$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.47 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Duke | 38c | 1,820$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.4 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Clemson | 38c | 1,727$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.9 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0409…0da6backed Duke | 41c | 1,707$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69e9…dee1backed Duke | 31c | 1,633$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.73 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Clemson | 61c | 1,619$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.87 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Duke | 38c | 1,550$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.36 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Clemson | 24c | 1,526$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.86 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Duke | 38c | 1,464$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.29 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Duke | 38c | 1,389$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.88 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Duke | 51c | 1,300$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.67 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad96…05aabacked Duke | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Clemson | 69c | 1,273$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.37 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3b…1c27backed Duke | 39c | 1,256$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ce…57b5backed Duke | 39c | 1,231$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf35…b421backed Duke | 39c | 1,231$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0777…110ebacked Clemson | 61c | 1,200$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e0…43d0backed Duke | 40c | 1,200$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed Duke | 36c | 1,200$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.99 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…bdbabacked Duke | 32c | 1,048$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.8 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…b006backed Clemson | 56c | 1,010$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Duke | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6d…88f2backed Clemson | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Clemson | 61c | 990.54$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.09 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd6…19e8backed Clemson | 70c | 987.61$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +231%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…342cbacked Clemson | 63c | 986.92$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Duke | 43c | 952.02$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.65 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa576…89a4backed Duke | 34c | 860.18$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +117.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa08f…a1b0backed Clemson | 62c | 854.84$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c5…13bbbacked Clemson | 62c | 838.71$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x455e…5e08backed Clemson | 62c | 838.71$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4def…b07bbacked Clemson | 62c | 838.71$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Clemson | 75c | 825$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.75 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdb…1175backed Clemson | 62c | 822.58$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ad…2350backed Clemson | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9844…5e6cbacked Clemson | 60c | 800$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Clemson | 43c | 800$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.95 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb17…0a7cbacked Duke | 39c | 692.31$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Duke | 41c | 668.72$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.43 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Clemson | 42c | 651.7$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.24 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Clemson | 60c | 631$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.79 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Duke | 41c | 615.88$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.34 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4b…ab60backed Clemson | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce0…819cbacked Duke | 33c | 550$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.5 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Duke | 53c | 518$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.46 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Duke | 38c | 500$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Duke | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Clemson | 36c | 488.33$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.8 | 86 | 29.1%25 W · 61 L | +15.2wins | +0.18per pick | 11cpaid | +361.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf0…c907backed Clemson | 47c | 469.12$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +66%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…b567backed Duke | 22c | 455$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Duke | 60c | 431.68$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.12 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…8d57backed Clemson | 61c | 426.23$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66f3…bde4backed Duke | 74c | 417.63$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.59 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +4.6wins | +0.36per pick | 57cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Duke | 49c | 414.7$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.53 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72cb…542ebacked Duke | 72c | 411.03$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa433…67ccbacked Clemson | 78c | 400.94$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48a5…a903backed Clemson | 61c | 400$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbf…ec62backed Duke | 41c | 375$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda82…5da2backed Duke | 40c | 370$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd1…8a05backed Duke | 45c | 350$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Clemson | 57c | 334.03$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.59 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…e6d4backed Duke | 39c | 320.51$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.51 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0c89backed Clemson | 41c | 317.9$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17bd…7afcbacked Clemson | 28c | 316.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Duke vs. Clemsonthis page
- Duke vs. Clemson: O/U 54.5Over won
- Duke vs. Clemson: O/U 56.5Over won
- O/U 55.5Over won
- Spread: Clemson (-3.5)Duke won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.