College Football · resolved market
Spread: Clemson (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb18c81d3cb115ae12f485079cdb622d5c889260d82e465f5d8540248329b1199
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dukeof Clemson, Duke
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,223
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,223 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked Clemson | 50c | 77,000$38,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,747.13 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Duke | 50c | 62,240$31,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,103.15 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Duke | 49c | 24,606$12,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,549.06 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clemson | 49c | 12,510$6,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,107.2 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Duke | 51c | 10,000$5,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,943.33 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Clemson | 49c | 9,032$4,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,459.5 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Duke | 51c | 5,179$2,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,540.61 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Clemson | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Duke | 52c | 4,548$2,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,182.81 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Clemson | 48c | 2,044$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.12 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Clemson | 49c | 2,042$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.58 | 224 | 37.5%84 W · 140 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Duke | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Clemson | 48c | 1,000$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Duke | 51c | 900$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Clemson | 49c | 515$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.35 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Duke | 50c | 424$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Clemson | 51c | 348.02$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.49 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Duke | 51c | 249.99$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Clemson | 47c | 247.54$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.6 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe832…7abbbacked Duke | 52c | 231.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.99 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Clemson | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Duke | 52c | 225$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Clemson | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Duke | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Duke | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Duke | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1321…2286backed Clemson | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Duke | 51c | 112.9$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.92 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Duke | 53c | 109.43$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…18debacked Duke | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…3bfebacked Duke | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…1405backed Duke | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…b155backed Clemson | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Clemson | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c1…012cbacked Clemson | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe3…5a21backed Clemson | 48c | 52.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a3…23d3backed Duke | 52c | 52.88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Duke | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bae…2e92backed Clemson | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4696…09f2backed Duke | 52c | 28.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +149.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Clemson (-3.5)this page
- Duke vs. ClemsonDuke won
- Duke vs. Clemson: O/U 54.5Over won
- Duke vs. Clemson: O/U 56.5Over won
- O/U 55.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.