NHL · resolved market
Devils vs. Avalanche
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8d60370b22faa322a44c83fef12876c56d1515e029ad5bfa830e41c4c952f94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Devils, Avalanche
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,016,011
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,003,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,016,011 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 311 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x145c…43bcbacked Avalanche | 63c | 349,252$219,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129,549.56 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Avalanche | 60c | 339,382$203,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135,896.78 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Devils | 40c | 250,000$100,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,000 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Devils | 37c | 111,111$41,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,111.07 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Devils | 40c | 73,594$29,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,092.74 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Devils | 37c | 50,000$18,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,500 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Devils | 37c | 41,219$15,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,363.29 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Devils | 39c | 40,457$15,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,682.22 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Devils | 38c | 34,663$13,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,074.57 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Devils | 40c | 32,633$12,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,898.4 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Devils | 19c | 21,577$4,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,151.79 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Devils | 37c | 20,000$7,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,400 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Devils | 37c | 16,167$5,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,981.61 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b36…e99bbacked Devils | 50c | 15,155$7,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,577.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71a9…143ebacked Avalanche | 50c | 15,155$7,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,577.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Avalanche | 60c | 15,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Devils | 37c | 13,513$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.81 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Devils | 37c | 11,203$4,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,188.99 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Devils | 36c | 10,464$3,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,806.08 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Devils | 37c | 10,010$3,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,703.83 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Avalanche | 60c | 8,993$5,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,615.23 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Devils | 37c | 8,509$3,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,148.34 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Avalanche | 60c | 8,499$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,399.78 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Devils | 0c | 8,065$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Devils | 40c | 7,855$3,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,151.13 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Avalanche | 60c | 7,500$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -9.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Devils | 38c | 7,255$2,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,726.68 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed Devils | 7c | 7,157$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.19 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Devils | 0c | 6,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Devils | 39c | 5,799$2,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,261.58 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a3…33dbbacked Avalanche | 60c | 5,708$3,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,268.2 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Devils | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Devils | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Avalanche | 59c | 4,814$2,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,965.71 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Devils | 39c | 4,426$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713.08 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Devils | 38c | 4,300$1,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643.98 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1784…9ea3backed Devils | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Avalanche | 61c | 3,835$2,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.65 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Avalanche | 61c | 3,500$2,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Devils | 1c | 3,380$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Devils | 39c | 3,167$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.02 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Devils | 40c | 3,050$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.01 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Devils | 39c | 3,013$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.96 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Devils | 38c | 2,765$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.39 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Avalanche | 55c | 2,658$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.18 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Avalanche | 61c | 2,623$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.95 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Devils | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.95 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Avalanche | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Avalanche | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa562…28bdbacked Avalanche | 60c | 2,400$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Devils | 40c | 2,144$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.24 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Devils | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Devils | 39c | 2,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Devils | 40c | 1,987$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.79 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51c8…5c6bbacked Devils | 17c | 1,765$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Devils | 40c | 1,750$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Devils | 41c | 1,708$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.4 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Devils | 42c | 1,577$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.61 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Devils | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…5696backed Devils | 30c | 1,500$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Devils | 16c | 1,463$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Avalanche | 80c | 1,431$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.27 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Devils | 37c | 1,400$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Devils | 37c | 1,333$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.65 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Devils | 40c | 1,329$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.6 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Devils | 39c | 1,300$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0b87backed Avalanche | 60c | 1,174$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.83 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 60cpaid | +44%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc3…9935backed Avalanche | 60c | 1,100$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3313…881ebacked Devils | 38c | 1,071$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a7…ef6bbacked Devils | 2c | 1,038$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Devils | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Devils | 39c | 995$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.89 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2e…b5e5backed Devils | 40c | 957.26$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.23 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Devils | 2c | 933$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Devils | 40c | 900$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Devils | 39c | 834$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.54 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9794…1d5fbacked Avalanche | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Devils | 40c | 799.99$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Avalanche | 60c | 794.96$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.58 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Devils | 37c | 790$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.3 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8d…a1e9backed Devils | 12c | 781.31$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Devils | 21c | 769.67$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.26 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Devils | 7c | 683$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.71 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05bb…8ef9backed Devils | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9999…9868backed Avalanche | 60c | 666.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.66 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Devils | 40c | 660.14$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.06 | 199 | 42.7%85 W · 114 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Devils | 24c | 649.93$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.33 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Devils | 40c | 631.32$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.12 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Devils | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Devils | 3c | 610.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…7650backed Devils | 41c | 597.56$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4cd0backed Avalanche | 60c | 596.23$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.93 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Devils | 40c | 543.83$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.53 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Devils | 38c | 539$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.82 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Devils | 6c | 538.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Devils | 9c | 511.59$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.04 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Devils | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc9…d900backed Avalanche | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Devils | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…1feabacked Devils | 39c | 499.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.99 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Devils vs. Avalanchethis page
- Devils vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5Over won
- Devils vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Avalanche won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.