NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Blue Jackets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fb61a0d2a6f90ee5cc144824eae43b99bcbe0055934fe3372a47e6bef248f1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jacketsof Maple Leafs, Blue Jackets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $773,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $788,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $773,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 351 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 476,286$223,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223,233.55 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Blue Jackets | 53c | 117,446$62,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,199.69 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Blue Jackets | 53c | 98,848$52,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,165.27 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Blue Jackets | 53c | 88,770$47,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,621.9 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Blue Jackets | 53c | 59,353$31,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,804.3 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Blue Jackets | 51c | 34,451$17,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,881.13 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 34,198$16,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,415.06 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Blue Jackets | 52c | 25,000$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,000 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked Blue Jackets | 53c | 25,000$13,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,750 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Blue Jackets | 54c | 22,000$11,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,120 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed Blue Jackets | 54c | 17,583$9,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,088.18 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Blue Jackets | 53c | 17,500$9,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,225 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 17,411$8,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,550.06 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Maple Leafs | 0c | 13,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 11,111$5,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,222.17 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Blue Jackets | 52c | 10,422$5,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,993.64 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 10,417$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,699.99 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Maple Leafs | 1c | 9,778$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.78 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Blue Jackets | 52c | 8,995$4,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,317.53 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Blue Jackets | 53c | 7,500$3,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,525 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -9.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Blue Jackets | 53c | 6,684$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,144.44 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…95e2backed Maple Leafs | 0c | 5,845$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 5,208$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +29%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6253…20a6backed Blue Jackets | 54c | 5,035$2,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,316.1 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Blue Jackets | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Blue Jackets | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.97 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 4,710$2,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,307.9 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Blue Jackets | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 3,933$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.23 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Blue Jackets | 72c | 3,922$2,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.44 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…b145backed Blue Jackets | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Maple Leafs | 1c | 3,875$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 3,368$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.51 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 3,127$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.22 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.99 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Blue Jackets | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.62 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 2,470$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.6 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Maple Leafs | 27c | 2,271$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.91 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 2,135$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.71 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 2,003$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.35 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a6…69c5backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 2,002$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Maple Leafs | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Blue Jackets | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Blue Jackets | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Blue Jackets | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Blue Jackets | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x693a…c423backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 1,998$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…135abacked Maple Leafs | 49c | 1,998$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 1,947$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.86 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…9710backed Blue Jackets | 52c | 1,886$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa67…1457backed Blue Jackets | 52c | 1,883$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce60…af0bbacked Blue Jackets | 52c | 1,883$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Blue Jackets | 65c | 1,794$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.93 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,794$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.89 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Blue Jackets | 53c | 1,760$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.44 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Blue Jackets | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Maple Leafs | 1c | 1,550$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 101 | 6.9%7 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x594f…392cbacked Blue Jackets | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…4375backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.97 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,462$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.74 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdad2…98c6backed Blue Jackets | 70c | 1,209$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Blue Jackets | 48c | 1,165$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.8 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Blue Jackets | 74c | 1,161$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.57 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Maple Leafs | 29c | 1,137$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.86 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 1,125$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.3 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb3…285dbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe4…5c4fbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 1,090$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.21 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd46c…b32dbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51c8…5c6bbacked Maple Leafs | 19c | 1,035$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Maple Leafs | 49c | 1,024$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.84 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Blue Jackets | 52c | 1,010$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.8 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…818ebacked Blue Jackets | 53c | 1,009$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.23 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Blue Jackets | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Blue Jackets | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e08…9726backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -11.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0b87backed Blue Jackets | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 60cpaid | +44%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Maple Leafs | 30c | 972.9$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.11 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9844…5e6cbacked Blue Jackets | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 929$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.82 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Maple Leafs | 17c | 849.29$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.6 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Blue Jackets | 53c | 837.71$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.72 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9769…7cd7backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 831.91$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.33per pick | 46cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Blue Jackets | 43c | 789.44$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.98 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b01…0aa5backed Maple Leafs | 26c | 769.53$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.19 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…62b0backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 758.3$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70ad…f25cbacked Blue Jackets | 57c | 758.29$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.29 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…2e08backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 714.29$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…151fbacked Blue Jackets | 52c | 700$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 667.18$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.25 | 199 | 42.7%85 W · 114 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 654.99$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.4 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 643.97$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.11 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 629.06$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.95 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25e0…04cfbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 622.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maple Leafs vs. Blue Jacketsthis page
- Maple Leafs vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)Blue Jackets won
- Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)Blue Jackets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.