NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Panthers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x471eae7a1c8e9750eaaf5b61d134db87606f0f14e911f87a1fb2dbd565720cba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ducksof Ducks, Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $616,816
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $609,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $616,816 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 257 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Panthers | 62c | 225,166$140,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140,362.63 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Ducks | 42c | 89,104$37,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,508.13 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Panthers | 62c | 73,297$45,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,444.19 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Ducks | 38c | 69,000$26,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,779.98 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Ducks | 38c | 49,822$18,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,889.71 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Ducks | 38c | 47,711$18,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,581.04 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf90e…0b56backed Ducks | 37c | 40,000$14,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,050 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Panthers | 5c | 35,320$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.51 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Panthers | 62c | 30,304$18,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,788.6 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Ducks | 38c | 25,900$9,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,058 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Ducks | 39c | 25,000$9,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,250 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Ducks | 38c | 21,251$8,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,203.63 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Ducks | 37c | 11,000$4,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,929.9 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Ducks | 38c | 10,527$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,526.51 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Panthers | 58c | 9,830$5,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,658.67 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Panthers | 15c | 9,160$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.84 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Panthers | 62c | 8,995$5,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,576.87 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…e0fbbacked Panthers | 62c | 8,461$5,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,245.6 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Panthers | 62c | 6,500$4,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,029.97 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Ducks | 37c | 6,184$2,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,895.71 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Panthers | 62c | 5,976$3,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,703.23 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Panthers | 62c | 5,733$3,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,562.75 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Panthers | 60c | 5,277$3,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,178.79 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Ducks | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Ducks | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.97 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Panthers | 62c | 4,967$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,079.76 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02ca…0f37backed Ducks | 38c | 4,500$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,790 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc94…dfbcbacked Panthers | 63c | 4,500$2,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,835 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Panthers | 61c | 4,228$2,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,579.37 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Panthers | 62c | 4,187$2,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,595.94 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Ducks | 37c | 3,469$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,185.27 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ducks | 38c | 3,215$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,004.16 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Panthers | 61c | 2,968$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.74 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Panthers | 62c | 2,804$1,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,738.43 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Ducks | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.89 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…bdbabacked Ducks | 73c | 2,569$1,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.79 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Ducks | 37c | 2,500$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Panthers | 62c | 2,366$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.95 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…794cbacked Panthers | 62c | 2,300$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b6…3eacbacked Ducks | 38c | 2,300$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Panthers | 61c | 2,166$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.19 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…abe8backed Ducks | 41c | 2,152$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.83 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Ducks | 38c | 2,126$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.73 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…ab18backed Panthers | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Panthers | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Panthers | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Panthers | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.99 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Panthers | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.99 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Panthers | 62c | 1,852$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.24 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Ducks | 42c | 1,656$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.65 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Panthers | 45c | 1,466$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.73 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Panthers | 21c | 1,386$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Panthers | 63c | 1,352$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Ducks | 39c | 1,340$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.4 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Ducks | 38c | 1,320$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.4 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Panthers | 62c | 1,238$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.81 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Panthers | 62c | 1,100$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.97 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Panthers | 62c | 1,056$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.27 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Ducks | 46c | 1,045$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.65 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Panthers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Panthers | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Ducks | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Panthers | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e08…9726backed Ducks | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Panthers | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef25…dc22backed Panthers | 62c | 995.16$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e39…7730backed Panthers | 63c | 984.13$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7207…1ce7backed Panthers | 63c | 952.38$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2102…25f6backed Ducks | 38c | 952$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.24 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x12f6…6e69backed Panthers | 63c | 921.38$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.47 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc439…1308backed Ducks | 38c | 921.05$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.05 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +6.1wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…72b5backed Ducks | 38c | 850$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +119.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Ducks | 65c | 820.99$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.51 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Panthers | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Panthers | 62c | 814.51$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Ducks | 37c | 811.67$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.5 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Panthers | 62c | 800.64$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Ducks | 38c | 800$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Panthers | 63c | 798.41$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa823…d131backed Panthers | 63c | 795.24$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9794…1d5fbacked Panthers | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Panthers | 11c | 782.45$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Panthers | 63c | 763$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.41 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Panthers | 62c | 750$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Panthers | 61c | 747.87$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.2 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Ducks | 38c | 747.17$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.25 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Ducks | 37c | 711$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.93 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Ducks | 36c | 660.1$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.47 | 199 | 42.7%85 W · 114 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Panthers | 47c | 610.51$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.26 | 201 | 37.8%76 W · 125 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3688…a4debacked Panthers | 63c | 550$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e35…500abacked Ducks | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +124.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Ducks | 38c | 510.99$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.82 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…457fbacked Panthers | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Ducks | 38c | 465.83$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.81 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…11b5backed Ducks | 38c | 457.89$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Panthers | 11c | 450$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Panthers | 50c | 449.12$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.56 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ducks | 46c | 384.16$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.79 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Ducks | 38c | 384$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.08 | 487 | 48.3%235 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Ducks | 52c | 370.18$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.05 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ducks vs. Panthersthis page
- Ducks vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Ducks vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Panthers (-1.5)Ducks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.