NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf34cc15f5915da3e0479b78cfc7a15d3f1e8ada21087f75540ba1182f8c492fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Lakers, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,165,244
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,215,506
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,165,244 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 716 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3987…259ebacked Lakers | 27c | 1,003,579$270,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270,236.34 | 80 | 22.5%18 W · 62 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Thunder | 73c | 864,297$632,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232,199.86 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0b…9f41backed Thunder | 71c | 120,026$85,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,801.4 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Thunder | 74c | 113,181$83,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,427.04 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Thunder | 73c | 85,000$62,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,950 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Thunder | 74c | 71,136$52,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,788.75 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Lakers | 29c | 62,690$18,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,385.17 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lakers | 29c | 54,947$15,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,761.76 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca5a…7e43backed Lakers | 8c | 50,000$3,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,992.82 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Lakers | 26c | 40,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,400 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Thunder | 72c | 30,000$21,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,400 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Thunder | 73c | 30,000$21,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,100 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Lakers | 27c | 30,000$8,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,100 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Lakers | 29c | 24,405$7,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,062.23 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…da3cbacked Lakers | 0c | 21,246$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…f932backed Lakers | 26c | 20,000$5,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,280 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Thunder | 74c | 18,757$13,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,953.06 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Lakers | 2c | 16,820$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.35 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x130c…782cbacked Lakers | 1c | 15,630$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.49 | 144 | 20.1%29 W · 115 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17db…5f6dbacked Thunder | 71c | 14,020$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,020.47 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Lakers | 27c | 13,964$3,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,754.65 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Thunder | 72c | 13,889$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,888.89 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lakers | 27c | 13,794$3,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,756.26 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8045…c601backed Lakers | 0c | 13,750$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Thunder | 74c | 13,678$10,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,556.28 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Thunder | 72c | 12,901$9,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,619.6 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Lakers | 26c | 12,349$3,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,210.72 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Lakers | 26c | 12,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,119.97 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Lakers | 26c | 11,538$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Lakers | 28c | 11,466$3,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,210.48 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Lakers | 1c | 10,926$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.66 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Lakers | 1c | 10,179$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 385 | 45.7%176 W · 209 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Thunder | 72c | 10,061$7,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,846.52 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Lakers | 26c | 10,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Lakers | 26c | 10,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Lakers | 0c | 9,981$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Thunder | 74c | 9,860$7,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,523.33 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Lakers | 0c | 9,786$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Thunder | 74c | 8,688$6,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,258.88 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76a3…5249backed Lakers | 2c | 8,400$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.19 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Lakers | 26c | 7,400$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927.96 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa763…709ebacked Lakers | 5c | 7,073$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.96 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Lakers | 1c | 6,836$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.06 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Lakers | 27c | 6,732$1,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,817.65 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Thunder | 70c | 6,609$4,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,006.05 | 280 | 63.9%179 W · 101 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Thunder | 76c | 6,079$4,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.06 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Thunder | 74c | 5,522$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.51 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Thunder | 73c | 5,500$4,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.01 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed Lakers | 28c | 5,238$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.4 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Lakers | 28c | 5,192$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.08 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Thunder | 71c | 5,000$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Lakers | 26c | 5,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.98 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed Lakers | 30c | 4,997$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.98 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Thunder | 74c | 4,984$3,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.94 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f83…7252backed Lakers | 1c | 4,722$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212d…fb0dbacked Lakers | 1c | 4,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…61c8backed Lakers | 21c | 4,190$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lakers | 12c | 4,118$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.32 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Lakers | 27c | 4,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Lakers | 26c | 4,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…353fbacked Lakers | 26c | 4,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Thunder | 71c | 3,999$2,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.11 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bc…bd81backed Thunder | 80c | 3,959$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.3 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Thunder | 79c | 3,941$3,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.78 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc250…83a6backed Lakers | 16c | 3,735$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd735…968ebacked Lakers | 27c | 3,704$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffa…0788backed Lakers | 27c | 3,704$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Lakers | 26c | 3,685$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.98 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410b…5c3cbacked Lakers | 27c | 3,665$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6775…17efbacked Lakers | 27c | 3,637$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.72 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c90…d7eebacked Thunder | 74c | 3,580$2,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Lakers | 30c | 3,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 105 | 30.5%32 W · 73 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Lakers | 27c | 3,500$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb311…47bebacked Lakers | 26c | 3,325$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…1eedbacked Lakers | 1c | 3,283$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Lakers | 1c | 3,165$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Thunder | 74c | 3,000$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f7…5f27backed Lakers | 2c | 3,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1142…a9bfbacked Lakers | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685e…6f30backed Thunder | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Lakers | 28c | 3,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.99 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Lakers | 29c | 2,998$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.39 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ebf…e50fbacked Lakers | 12c | 2,931$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.65 | 651 | 44.5%290 W · 361 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Thunder | 72c | 2,750$1,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.95 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…3bd9backed Lakers | 1c | 2,590$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +8.8wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Lakers | 0c | 2,578$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 108 | 8.3%9 W · 99 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Thunder | 72c | 2,556$1,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.77 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cc…af78backed Lakers | 1c | 2,536$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2d…3749backed Lakers | 23c | 2,525$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.75 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Thunder | 72c | 2,500$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Lakers | 27c | 2,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Lakers | 28c | 2,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.95 | 243 | 30.9%75 W · 168 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Lakers | 28c | 2,498$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687 | 140 | 40%56 W · 84 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lakers | 7c | 2,358$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.21 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Lakers | 7c | 2,337$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.92 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c1…06cebacked Lakers | 28c | 2,321$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.36 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Lakers | 26c | 2,265$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 152 | 28.3%43 W · 109 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Thunder | 72c | 2,231$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.47 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19fd…5838backed Lakers | 28c | 2,222$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.14 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x968f…2a1fbacked Lakers | 27c | 2,217$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Thunderthis page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 229.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 230.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 231.5Under won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.