NHL · resolved market
Blues vs. Sabres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa74676c5c145b66b8c280b4ef37d34f635c34e3ab9776f6ebf010d25e8abd881
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bluesof Blues, Sabres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $927,861
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $952,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $927,861 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 474 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Blues | 46c | 274,320$126,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148,132.84 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Sabres | 54c | 217,391$117,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117,391.3 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Sabres | 55c | 54,085$29,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,737.56 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf90e…0b56backed Blues | 45c | 52,899$23,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,179.86 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Blues | 44c | 31,105$13,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,384.64 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Sabres | 57c | 30,079$17,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,144.97 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4991…5ecdbacked Blues | 43c | 30,035$12,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,120.23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Sabres | 54c | 30,000$16,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,200 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Blues | 45c | 30,000$13,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,500 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Sabres | 0c | 29,643$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Blues | 44c | 26,021$11,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,646.99 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Sabres | 0c | 25,840$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Sabres | 56c | 20,192$11,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,407.55 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Sabres | 54c | 18,621$10,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,093.89 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…f152backed Sabres | 57c | 15,000$8,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,550 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Blues | 46c | 15,000$6,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,149.99 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf918…0a2dbacked Blues | 50c | 14,928$7,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,464 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 38cpaid | +200%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd4…15d8backed Sabres | 50c | 14,928$7,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,464 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Sabres | 55c | 13,163$7,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,212.28 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6253…20a6backed Blues | 46c | 13,021$5,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,031.55 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Sabres | 55c | 12,688$6,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,978.32 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Blues | 44c | 12,000$5,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,780 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Sabres | 25c | 12,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.98 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Sabres | 56c | 11,500$6,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,439.97 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Blues | 44c | 11,111$4,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,222.16 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Sabres | 55c | 10,701$5,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,866.21 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Blues | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,699.97 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…a2ccbacked Sabres | 55c | 9,114$5,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,012.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…0d06backed Sabres | 56c | 9,107$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75cd…3f8bbacked Blues | 45c | 9,100$4,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,005 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Blues | 47c | 8,504$3,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,507.31 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Blues | 43c | 7,723$3,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,402.11 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Sabres | 57c | 7,500$4,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,275 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -9.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Blues | 44c | 7,359$3,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,098.73 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd735…968ebacked Sabres | 61c | 6,522$3,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,998 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Blues | 44c | 6,271$2,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,511.59 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff3c…09ebbacked Blues | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Sabres | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,420 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Blues | 45c | 5,761$2,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,168.55 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Sabres | 54c | 5,704$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…d255backed Sabres | 56c | 5,589$3,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,129.84 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Sabres | 56c | 5,512$3,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,072.76 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…0de0backed Blues | 45c | 5,493$2,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,021.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb84a…055dbacked Sabres | 54c | 5,475$2,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,956.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Sabres | 55c | 5,384$2,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,961 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Blues | 43c | 5,332$2,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,039.17 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x072a…3e85backed Blues | 44c | 5,230$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,919.75 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…49a1backed Sabres | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef66…32efbacked Sabres | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Sabres | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.98 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Blues | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.97 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x937e…1de6backed Sabres | 55c | 4,800$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Blues | 44c | 4,623$2,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,589.62 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…753ebacked Blues | 46c | 4,500$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,430 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Sabres | 49c | 4,500$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,210 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Sabres | 12c | 4,147$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.11 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Blues | 43c | 4,048$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.25 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d3…593ebacked Blues | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8813…47e6backed Blues | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Sabres | 55c | 3,759$2,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070.79 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…c845backed Sabres | 55c | 3,700$2,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Sabres | 54c | 3,562$1,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,923.48 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Sabres | 54c | 3,500$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Blues | 45c | 3,333$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.33 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Blues | 67c | 3,208$2,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.21 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Blues | 45c | 3,200$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Sabres | 54c | 3,153$1,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.06 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Blues | 38c | 3,144$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.28 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Blues | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Sabres | 56c | 3,000$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,669.99 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Blues | 45c | 2,594$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.07 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f9…3e4bbacked Sabres | 54c | 2,407$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…3c14backed Blues | 47c | 2,406$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Sabres | 57c | 2,400$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Blues | 78c | 2,359$1,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.19 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Blues | 64c | 2,301$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.44 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Sabres | 57c | 2,288$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Blues | 45c | 2,209$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.75 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Blues | 65c | 2,183$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.04 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Sabres | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc96a…9c0fbacked Sabres | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Sabres | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Sabres | 56c | 1,998$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.88 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479a…e8b7backed Blues | 45c | 1,925$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a21…be38backed Blues | 45c | 1,869$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25f8…15ddbacked Blues | 45c | 1,794$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.7 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Sabres | 56c | 1,695$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.52 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blues | 40c | 1,670$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Sabres | 54c | 1,400$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Sabres | 55c | 1,345$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.05 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…52c1backed Blues | 45c | 1,333$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.33 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db0…ece3backed Sabres | 56c | 1,333$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.48 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Sabres | 54c | 1,308$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.68 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…a044backed Blues | 44c | 1,291$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Sabres | 53c | 1,213$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.88 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ab…97a4backed Blues | 46c | 1,196$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.65 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ced…4fa9backed Sabres | 54c | 1,185$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sabres | 33c | 1,153$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.01 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78f…0463backed Blues | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d96…0b38backed Sabres | 56c | 1,111$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.16 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blues vs. Sabresthis page
- Blues vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Blues won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.