NHL · resolved market
Blues vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf51b43c9120a03bf65e96be8faf215523dd96c112e422f83f70053f508c88c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,512
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 49c | 78,621$38,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,310.52 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Under | 51c | 22,117$11,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,837.17 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 51c | 19,645$10,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,626.07 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 52c | 13,987$7,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,713.64 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 51c | 11,111$5,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,444.39 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d47…d0a2backed Under | 52c | 8,188$4,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,930.46 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over | 46c | 4,407$2,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,027.22 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Under | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Under | 51c | 2,090$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.1 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Under | 51c | 2,050$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.5 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Under | 54c | 1,933$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.18 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 49c | 1,444$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.34 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x669c…6c54backed Under | 52c | 898.08$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.08 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x12f6…6e69backed Over | 49c | 897.96$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 48c | 403.16$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.52 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 51c | 397$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.53 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0a…9104backed Under | 54c | 212.52$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.61 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 45c | 202.73$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.23 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Under | 54c | 190$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec4…e67abacked Under | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Over | 46c | 127.52$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.66 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…2c36backed Under | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x935b…5c4bbacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 309 | 51.1%158 W · 151 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…c0edbacked Under | 52c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…06f9backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…5286backed Over | 46c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 178 | 45.5%81 W · 97 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…d2b9backed Over | 46c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46a0…f721backed Over | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blues vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5this page
- Blues vs. SabresBlues won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Blues won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.