TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x935b…5c4b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Olympics, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Olympics at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST2462.5%15 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$37.5
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$29.5
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Timberwolves vs. Kingsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+31.6%+$24
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+44.9%+$15.5
Warriors vs. Magicbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Hornets vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+31.6%+$15.79
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+25%+$20
Trail Blazers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+35.1%+$26
76ers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+63.9%+$19.5
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+66.7%+$40
Hawks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+33.3%+$25
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$31.5
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$64
Timberwolves vs. Jazzbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+35.1%+$13
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$73
Lakers vs. Hornetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+33.3%+$25
Mavericks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+61.3%+$38
Raptors vs. Hawksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+122.2%+$55
76ers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+28.2%+$22
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+37%+$27
Timberwolves vs. Netsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+29.9%+$23
All 24 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Krakenbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
Sabres vs. Blackhawksbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
Wild vs. Bluesbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Rangers vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
Flames vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$17.5
Sabres vs. Rangersbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$21.5
Canucks vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21
Canucks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
Flames vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+56.3%+$18
Flyers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Blue Jackets vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+69.5%+$20.5
Islanders vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Oilers vs. Sabresbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Blue Jackets vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+61.3%+$38
Islanders vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Rangers vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Blues vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$47
Predators vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+51.5%+$34
Bruins vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$53
Oilers vs. Blues: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$47
Flames vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$28.5
All 22 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Collin Morikawa finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Russell Henley finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+400%+$80
Will Tommy Fleetwood finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$64
Will Matt Fitzpatrick finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Collin Morikawa finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$27.06
Will Jake Knapp finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$30.77
Will Ludvig Aberg finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.27
Will Tommy Fleetwood finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.77
Will Bryson DeChambeau finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.77
Will Europe win the 2025 Ryder Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$31
Will USA win the 2025 Ryder Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Houston Texans win the AFC South?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11.25
Will Joe Burrow lead the NFL in passing yards this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$37.5
Will the Arizona Cardinals win the NFC West?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Chiefs vs. Broncosbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Ravens vs. Brownsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+25%+$12.5
49ers vs. Cardinalsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+56.3%+$28.13
Packers vs. Giantsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+31.6%+$15.79
Jaguars vs. Texansbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$25.5
Browns vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+117.4%+$27
Jaguars vs. Raidersbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+72.4%+$42
49ers vs. Giantsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+72.4%+$42
All 11 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+46.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hellenic Championship: Sebastian Korda vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+81.8%+$22.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.