NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Blues: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c387f652c47025267bfe443b6b9f520c274e1f518c0cfe8beb29ca727844c00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,325
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,269
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,325 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb67c…26d1backed Under | 56c | 18,886$10,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,398.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 44c | 6,315$2,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,778.73 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 45c | 5,603$2,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,534.55 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 3,906$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740.39 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…f7f1backed Over | 48c | 3,785$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,816.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…6891backed Under | 52c | 3,689$1,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f0…b02dbacked Under | 52c | 3,421$1,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…f39fbacked Under | 52c | 3,046$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.04 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8d…35adbacked Over | 48c | 2,726$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Over | 45c | 2,656$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.14 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9feb…e464backed Over | 48c | 2,513$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…c2c0backed Over | 48c | 2,481$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…171abacked Over | 48c | 2,217$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Over | 44c | 2,036$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.84 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…cbfdbacked Over | 48c | 1,921$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…91aabacked Under | 52c | 1,762$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cf…c056backed Under | 52c | 1,703$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 47c | 1,484$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.34 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d9…74f9backed Under | 52c | 1,466$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe6…22d8backed Over | 48c | 1,347$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Under | 55c | 1,301$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.68 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…c362backed Over | 48c | 1,186$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fad…246dbacked Under | 52c | 1,067$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcc…dbf0backed Under | 52c | 1,013$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7da…89b2backed Under | 52c | 1,009$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 44c | 646$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.24 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 45c | 488.64$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.89 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Over | 45c | 253.03$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.36 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 45c | 170$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 45c | 170$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Over | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00e2…72a3backed Under | 54c | 133.33$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.33 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x935b…5c4bbacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Over | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…d0dcbacked Over | 48c | 20.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oilers vs. Blues: O/U 6.5this page
- Oilers vs. BluesBlues won
- Oilers vs. Blues: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Blues won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.