NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Blues
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c99f768b44e57614202c8505be1ecef0cfd5bf42414c70ba8579dfc9ca1d9c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bluesof Oilers, Blues
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $441,455
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $449,053
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $441,455 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 413 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Blues | 47c | 108,457$50,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,481.96 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Blues | 28c | 90,000$25,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,982.43 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Oilers | 53c | 51,585$27,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,340.05 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Blues | 45c | 36,805$16,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,059.66 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Oilers | 54c | 32,589$17,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,597.04 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Oilers | 10c | 20,000$1,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,991.6 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Oilers | 55c | 18,182$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd076…d2efbacked Oilers | 50c | 14,900$7,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,450 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda07…aa04backed Blues | 50c | 14,900$7,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,450 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Oilers | 55c | 13,479$7,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,402.09 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Oilers | 56c | 12,017$6,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,695.49 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers | 54c | 11,999$6,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,510.5 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Oilers | 53c | 9,000$4,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,770 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Oilers | 56c | 8,995$5,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,037.01 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Oilers | 53c | 8,817$4,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,689.74 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Oilers | 72c | 7,287$5,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,246.52 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Oilers | 53c | 7,000$3,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,710 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Blues | 46c | 6,968$3,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,762.74 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Oilers | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Oilers | 72c | 5,658$4,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,073.89 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…b0dcbacked Oilers | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd949…91ecbacked Oilers | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Oilers | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Blues | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…7424backed Blues | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Blues | 46c | 4,348$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,347.83 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Blues | 19c | 4,331$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,513.49 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Blues | 46c | 4,329$1,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,338.2 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Blues | 43c | 4,283$1,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,441.08 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Blues | 45c | 4,058$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,231.82 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Oilers | 72c | 4,006$2,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,884.32 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Oilers | 54c | 3,704$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.8 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Oilers | 72c | 3,261$2,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,347.92 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Oilers | 72c | 3,111$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.92 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Oilers | 54c | 3,106$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,669.68 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Blues | 44c | 3,035$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,694.2 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Blues | 46c | 2,862$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.35 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Oilers | 54c | 2,787$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Oilers | 55c | 2,465$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.67 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Oilers | 54c | 2,150$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Oilers | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…ee73backed Oilers | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Oilers | 53c | 1,929$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.16 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Oilers | 70c | 1,852$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.36 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Blues | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…9fefbacked Oilers | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…818ebacked Oilers | 54c | 1,401$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.51 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd735…968ebacked Oilers | 54c | 1,263$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0894…610fbacked Oilers | 57c | 1,254$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Oilers | 1c | 1,222$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Oilers | 74c | 1,100$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1334…3c35backed Blues | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Oilers | 55c | 1,070$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.12 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa06b…df47backed Blues | 44c | 1,024$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6d…88f2backed Oilers | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Blues | 43c | 999.98$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.99 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e9…5e83backed Oilers | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdde2…db05backed Blues | 44c | 909.09$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf82f…9286backed Oilers | 57c | 909$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Oilers | 54c | 902.89$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.56 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Oilers | 52c | 862.6$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.55 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Blues | 44c | 845$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.2 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Blues | 45c | 828.99$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.94 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa13e…7448backed Blues | 44c | 768.18$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.18 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c59…7e7fbacked Oilers | 57c | 768$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.76 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd5…7a81backed Blues | 44c | 765.1$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42dd…2d1dbacked Oilers | 57c | 758.31$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.24 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd2…19ffbacked Blues | 44c | 758.31$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.65 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Blues | 43c | 746$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.22 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb48e…36dbbacked Blues | 44c | 737.81$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…4130backed Oilers | 57c | 716.05$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.15 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fd…dbc5backed Blues | 44c | 716.05$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.99 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Oilers | 57c | 700$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 165 | 54.5%90 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Oilers | 54c | 700$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.71 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x669c…6c54backed Blues | 46c | 691.3$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.3 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8354…b291backed Oilers | 55c | 690.91$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe997…1922backed Oilers | 55c | 675.75$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.54 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcda…02c2backed Oilers | 57c | 613.74$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d94…a916backed Blues | 46c | 610.07$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb17…0a7cbacked Blues | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc923…e0d5backed Oilers | 57c | 592.3$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.61 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f89…19dfbacked Blues | 44c | 592.3$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.69 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31a5…04a2backed Blues | 44c | 587.91$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19f…84e0backed Oilers | 57c | 578.31$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Blues | 45c | 572$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.6 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ef…6cedbacked Blues | 46c | 555.49$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.96 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d5…9417backed Oilers | 55c | 555.49$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.52 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d00…3b7abacked Oilers | 57c | 552.73$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc05b…b890backed Blues | 44c | 552.27$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2f…36f2backed Blues | 44c | 549.07$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.48 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95bb…f28bbacked Oilers | 57c | 549.07$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.97 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…4252backed Blues | 31c | 548.39$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.39 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe40e…6d5bbacked Oilers | 57c | 535.47$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e5…f14dbacked Oilers | 57c | 527.22$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…1788backed Blues | 44c | 508.4$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Blues | 15c | 500.07$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.11 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Blues | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d4…ad20backed Oilers | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x975e…60f7backed Oilers | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d71…3b2cbacked Blues | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oilers vs. Bluesthis page
- Oilers vs. Blues: O/U 5.5Under won
- Oilers vs. Blues: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Blues won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.