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NHL · resolved market

Sabres vs. Blackhawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sabresof Sabres, Blackhawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$546,272
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$619,284

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $546,272 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 486 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Blackhawks35c97,980$34,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,441.7167051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Sabres65c80,000$52,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,999.9948545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Blackhawks35c39,304$13,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,756.5251550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Sabres65c38,462$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,461.542564%16 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Blackhawks36c35,951$12,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,943.081,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Sabres64c32,598$20,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,735.1841850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Blackhawks35c30,000$10,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,5003056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Sabres64c14,115$9,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,060.6820756.5%117 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Sabres64c13,396$8,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,824.312,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Sabres65c12,148$7,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,251.9647951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Blackhawks40c10,916$4,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,371.591,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dca…af64backed Blackhawks35c9,237$3,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,232.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Sabres65c9,068$5,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,173.6932151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Sabres68c8,834$5,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,859.4589636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Sabres63c8,699$5,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,218.7175251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Blackhawks36c6,945$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5008946.1%41 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Blackhawks35c6,573$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,300.4110938.5%42 W · 67 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-20.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Blackhawks33c6,278$2,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,101.021,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Blackhawks36c6,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,16014940.9%61 W · 88 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf139…1d3bbacked Sabres65c5,940$3,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,078.98771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Sabres64c5,751$3,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.631,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Sabres52c5,600$2,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6883158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+51.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x50da…f6bdbacked Sabres65c5,417$3,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,895.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Sabres67c5,137$3,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,696.91,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc404…f3e4backed Blackhawks3c5,017$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Sabres67c4,997$3,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,672.152,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Sabres64c4,986$3,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,794.9540356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Sabres65c4,845$3,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,704.2561950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Blackhawks43c4,613$1,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,965.9912654.8%69 W · 57 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Sabres64c4,100$2,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,475.9811153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Blackhawks35c4,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.981,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Sabres65c3,943$2,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,385.689249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3618…1d8fbacked Sabres65c3,823$2,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,338.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Blackhawks36c3,750$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350.0538849.5%192 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed Blackhawks36c3,360$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.9614940.9%61 W · 88 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Sabres64c3,294$2,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,185.752,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65ea…476cbacked Sabres65c3,077$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.922979.3%23 W · 6 L+5.1wins+0.17per pick62cpaid+27.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Blackhawks36c2,890$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.5364242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Sabres65c2,880$1,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00812047.5%57 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Blackhawks36c2,820$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.4233450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea48…62dcbacked Sabres63c2,779$1,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.484942.9%21 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x196e…e9d6backed Blackhawks39c2,589$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Sabres67c2,497$1,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.4218452.7%97 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Blackhawks22c2,399$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.5114946.3%69 W · 80 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Blackhawks32c2,349$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.612,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Sabres64c2,299$1,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.6431848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Sabres64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72026750.2%134 W · 133 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Sabres64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72020450%102 W · 102 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed Sabres64c1,738$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.444955.1%27 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Blackhawks35c1,700$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.776950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9621…0a73backed Sabres65c1,692$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.315255.8%29 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed Blackhawks31c1,674$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5183158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Sabres64c1,576$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.2945955.1%253 W · 206 L+1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Blackhawks35c1,555$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.2586649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bc2…7ed7backed Sabres65c1,534$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.689060%54 W · 36 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9752…5b36backed Sabres64c1,500$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+31.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Blackhawks35c1,408$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.833554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Sabres74c1,353$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.168860.2%53 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Sabres64c1,328$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.1310663.2%67 W · 39 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd714…9a62backed Blackhawks35c1,286$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.096845.6%31 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Sabres68c1,264$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.140351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Sabres64c1,186$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.9642948.7%209 W · 220 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Sabres64c1,175$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.1425447.2%120 W · 134 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56cf…e292backed Sabres65c1,111$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.85450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcf5…c6b2backed Sabres65c1,067$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.472100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc510…629abacked Sabres51c1,066$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.564544.4%20 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Sabres64c1,050$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.0122946.3%106 W · 123 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Sabres49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51015650%78 W · 78 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85e5…9343backed Sabres64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3602050%10 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Sabres62c965.49$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.8913437.3%50 W · 84 L-0.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Blackhawks13c958.72$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.9429533.6%99 W · 196 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Blackhawks21c950$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.516446.3%76 W · 88 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Sabres65c923.08$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.0829448.6%143 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed Blackhawks36c861.11$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3107149.3%35 W · 36 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa56f…ee5fbacked Sabres64c786.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.911877.8%14 W · 4 L+4.1wins+0.23per pick55cpaid+33.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Sabres64c703.14$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.135364.2%34 W · 19 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+24.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ff2…449fbacked Blackhawks35c699.99$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2451668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+33.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67e2…42d9backed Sabres65c692.31$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.312181%17 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.18per pick63cpaid+26.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Blackhawks36c690.56$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.8936349%178 W · 185 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Blackhawks19c687.13$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1302445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7abf…8dd3backed Sabres73c684.09$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.732969%20 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+23%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Blackhawks31c680.71$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.6110746.7%50 W · 57 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Blackhawks43c668.05$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.8413850.7%70 W · 68 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Blackhawks35c654.82$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.1911152.3%58 W · 53 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Sabres53c653$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.4510947.7%52 W · 57 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d2…2381backed Sabres65c634.02$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.911471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Blackhawks36c611$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.9634752.4%182 W · 165 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Sabres65c607.15$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.525258.3%147 W · 105 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Blackhawks41c561.63$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.1414052.1%73 W · 67 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Blackhawks36c555.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007648.7%37 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Blackhawks36c555.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.811047.3%52 W · 58 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Sabres54c550$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.331861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+25.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa2fd…097abacked Blackhawks37c541.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.982955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Sabres63c535.46$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.7910166.3%67 W · 34 L+11.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x50a3…ea7abacked Blackhawks42c522$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.1923348.5%113 W · 120 L+16.4wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc49d…516dbacked Sabres78c512.82$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Blackhawks35c508.47$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.9626955.8%150 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Blackhawks35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17549249.6%244 W · 248 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78e5…38e7backed Blackhawks6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301711.8%2 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-39.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Blackhawks39c497.7$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.5282353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.