NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf02bb72a40c21adb1e1d59f2397596bf5e9a902579b26c7a8c5d062288c1ac4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,341
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,223
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,341 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 49c | 58,845$28,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,010.75 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 51c | 31,909$16,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,264.18 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Over | 51c | 28,000$14,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,280 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed Under | 75c | 15,897$11,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,906.57 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Over | 25c | 9,754$2,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,438.47 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Over | 25c | 2,957$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.54 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 48c | 2,415$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.06 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b1…092ebacked Under | 77c | 2,081$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.31 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 22c | 1,746$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.31 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 23c | 1,712$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.07 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf30…8b95backed Over | 25c | 1,268$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.4 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 51c | 1,041$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.06 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 50c | 904.2$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.08 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 443.47$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.73 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 24c | 399.62$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.77 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 50c | 328$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 47c | 263.91$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.56 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 51c | 241.78$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.31 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…942bbacked Under | 50c | 237.25$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.63 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +7.9wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…b370backed Over | 49c | 217$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 50c | 210$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 52c | 193.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.79 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250b…31a8backed Under | 51c | 190$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Over | 17c | 185.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Over | 49c | 180$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 49c | 162.75$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Over | 14c | 148.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Under | 52c | 144.56$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.56 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 41c | 130$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.7 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 23c | 108.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 59c | 101.37$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea5d…d375backed Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 50c | 99.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.53 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 32c | 98.71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over | 57c | 95$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.15 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 23c | 94.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 18c | 85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa753…49acbacked Over | 49c | 74.18$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f04…4e5fbacked Over | 30c | 71.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Under | 47c | 64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Over | 25c | 63.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Under | 75c | 50.01$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -8.2wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed Over | 25c | 41.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Under | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a70…a50bbacked Under | 53c | 37.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed Over | 50c | 34.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Under | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Over | 51c | 30.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc45d…de2fbacked Under | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Over | 46c | 27.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Under | 50c | 27.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 50c | 27.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Under | 50c | 20.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a6…ad64backed Under | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…d45bbacked Under | 80c | 12.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.51 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabres vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5this page
- Sabres vs. BlackhawksSabres won
- Sabres vs. Blackhawks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Blackhawks: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Sabres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.